Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis tipping points BOND MARKET PREPARATIONS FOR THE POST DEBT CEILING MARKET The current Debt Ceiling wrangling will soon be resolved with the result being (as always) a dramatic increase in the debt ceiling. The establishment of a US debt ceiling has long been meaningless other […]
MACRO US Economy Business Cycle
ECONOMIC INDICATORS STEADILY DETERIORATING
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis tipping points BOND MARKET ECONOMIC INDICATORS STEADILY DETERIORATING This week we do a deep dive into the deluge of economic indicators to see if there is consistent message signalling the realities of an imminent US Recession. THERE WAS! The only good news we witnessed was […]
BROADENING & DESTABILIZING SHOCK WAVES
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MACRO – US ECONOMY ECONOMIC INDICATORS BROADENING & DESTABILIZING SHOCK WAVES We have mistakenly and naively inserted Instability into a World of Incredible Complexity. The result has been and will continue to be broadening cascading shocks! SEQUENTIAL SERIES OF BROADENING CASCADING SHOCKS: SHOCK 1: COVID-19 […]
THE PIPER MUST BE PAID!
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MACRO – US ECONOMY DEBT MARKET THE PIPER MUST BE PAID! Unfortunately I am old enough to remember clearly when there were no credit cards, everything was transacted in cash (or consequentially simply not transacted at all) and banks lived by Borrowing Long Term and […]
WORLD DOLLAR LIQUIDITY DECLINING AT RECORD RATE
WORLD DOLLAR LIQUIDITY IS FALLING Here is a summary of Dr Lacy Hunt’s work on the cause of the record rate of decline in World Liquidity. The Second Theorem: Monetary deceleration eventually lead to lower, not higher, interest rates as originally theorized by Milton Friedman. When the Fed makes changes to the monetary base, […]
A LITTLE UNDERSTOOD ELEMENT OF FUNDAMENTAL LATE CYCLE INVESTING
A LITTLE UNDERSTOOD ELEMENT OF FUNDAMENTAL LATE CYCLE INVESTING We do a lot of Cycle work at MATASII.com as it is a critical element in developing our Strategic Investment Insights (SII) & Watch Lists. What few fully appreciate and is critical to cycle timing is: Contrary to popular belief, a deceleration of GDP growth is […]