Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis US MACRO MONETARY & FISCAL POLICY UNDERSTANDING THE US CREDIT DEFAULT SWAP – US TREASURY CORRELATION OBSERVATIONS: CLOSELY WATCHING THE FED’S DECISION ON QUANTITATIVE TIGHTENING (QT) The Fed pays interest on Bank Reserves and on Reverse Repurchase Agreements to prevent interest rates from plunging. That’s […]
MACRO US Eonomy US Policy Monetary
THE FED FUNDS RATE IS EFFECTIVELY ALREADY FALLING!
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis US MACRO MONETARY & FISCAL POLICY THE FED FUNDS RATE IS EFFECTIVELY ALREADY FALLING! OBSERVATIONS: THE TARNISHED “MADE IN AMERICA” BRAND I spent a lot of years earlier in my career involved in Manufacturing and Global Supply Chains. I have written in these pages on why […]
TREASURY REFUNDING DURING AN ELECTION YEAR’S DEFERRED DEBT CEILING WINDOW
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis US MACRO MONETARY & FISCAL POLICY TREASURY REFUNDING DURING AN ELECTION YEAR’S DEFERRED DEBT CEILING WINDOW OBSERVATIONS: THE TWO AMERICAS WE LIVE IN – PART II Last week I shared with you some facts on the “Disconnected Elite” that originated from statistics produced by the polling firm Rasmussen […]
CHINA HAS LOST ITS COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MACRO CHINA CHINA HAS LOST ITS COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE OBSERVATIONS: THE TWO AMERICAS WE LIVE IN There are two Americas that few seem to fully appreciate. I am not talking about the Rich versus Poor, nor the Haves versus the Have nots, nor the Liberals versus the Conservatives, […]
STEALTH LIQUIDITY STAGE II – THE ELECTION YEAR SET UP
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MACRO US MONETARY POLICY STEALTH LIQUIDITY STAGE II – THE ELECTION YEAR SET UP OBSERVATIONS: Americans Will Soon Be Asking Whether They Are Better Off Come This Election. From his first hours in office, Biden has waged a relentless war against American energy, canceling pipelines, […]
US DEBT IS NOW A SERIOUS SYSTEMIC PROBLEM
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MACRO US MONETARY POLICY US DEBT IS NOW A SERIOUS SYSTEMIC PROBLEM OBSERVATIONS: FLEEING POORLY RUN STATES CONTINUES The latest US census was just released on US population growth which grew by 1.6 million in 2023, with the South accounting for 87% of the growth. Texas and […]
A NERVOUS MARKET AWAITS THE NEW YEAR
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MACRO US MONETARY POLICY A NERVOUS MARKET AWAITS THE NEW YEAR OBSERVATIONS: I WORRY ABOUT SO FEW INDICTMENTS & MSM REPORTING ON INCREASINGLY BLATANT CORRUPTION! The year 2023 will go down in U.S. banking history as the year in which the fastest bank runs in […]
FED TIGHTENING YET FINANCIAL CONDITIONS ARE LOOSENING??
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MACRO US MONETARY POLICY FED TIGHTENING YET FINANCIAL CONDITIONS ARE LOOSENING?? One of the objectives we have in writing this weekly newsletter is to share with you our macro and market insights. We thought it important to address a confusion we are hearing on how […]
FINANCIAL REPRESSSION III: A Forced Regime Change
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MACRO US MONETARY POLICY FINANCIAL REPRESSSION III: A Forced Regime Change The US debt problem is taking on a new and worrying complexion as announced layoffs begin showing in spiking unemployment numbers. The October ADP, JOLTS and Non-farm Payrolls (NFP) releases were clear warning signals. […]
WILL THE FED’S “L” STRATEGY WORK?
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MACRO US MONETARY POLICY WILL THE FED’S “L” STRATEGY WORK? The Federal Reserve’s “L” Strategy is to crash the economy to absorb excess liquidity and capital ‘sloshing’ around the global financial system and then maintain the required elevated rates until inflation is determined to be […]