FIRST WARNING: CREDIT PROTECTION EXPLODES UPWARD We are witnessing a global explosion in Sovereign Credit Default Swap pricing. Costs around the world are up by over 1/3, with China, Indonesia, Japan and Korea in Asia currently the hardest hit by the Coronavirus. Noticeable is also select European countries with the media focused on the cases […]
WORLD DOLLAR LIQUIDITY CRASHES AS DOES MARGINAL UTILITY OF DEBT Lacy Hunt at Hoisington Management has another sterling post in its third quarter review and outlook. Here are some snips from the latest Hoisington Management Quarterly Review by Lacy Hunt. World Dollar Liquidity The Fed’s balance sheet constriction reduced world dollar liquidity, which is defined as the […]
DRAGHI PREPARES MARKETS FOR MONETARY EASING & FURTHER EURO DEBASEMENT Draghi outlined during the ECB’s annual conference in Sintra, Portugal that: The current EU outlook “remains tilted to the downside,” More stimulus will be needed if the outlook doesn’t improve. More interest-rate cuts and more QE are part of the central bank’s arsenal. Risks […]
CREDIT MARKETS CRACKING IN A SYSTEMIC LIKE FASHION Here are Monday’s charts pulled from a report which give further detail of the yield drop shown above in the current “TNX” MATASII chart. VIX vs HY vs IG Credit markets are starting to crack more systemically… Flashing very bright warning lights to stocks… BONDS Bond […]
TRADE WAR MAY TAKE BACKSEAT TO TRUMP ADMIN’S ANTI-TRUST BLITZKRIEG Major announcements Monday of anti-trust probes into Amazon, Facebook and Google (Alphabet). Trump is getting ahead of Democratic Presidential candidate Elizabeth Warren’s platform. What we know: FACEBOOK: The FTC which is already preparing to levy a massive fine against Facebook for data privacy violations has […]
MARKET RE-POSITIONING UNDERWAY: HISTORIC 6 MONTH EQUITY OUTFLOWS Institutions are shifting in a massive way to Bonds and Money Market Funds as Equity Outflows over the last 6 months have been of historic and and unprecedented levels. The S&P has just suffered its third worst month since the US AAA- rating downgrade in August 2011, […]
BONDS OVERBOUGHT ON EXPECTATION OF A FORCED FED INTERVENTION Longer-term Treasuries are overbought. These folks may consider taking some profits on exchange-traded index funds like iShares 20+ Year Treasury (NASDAQ:TLT). This would give us a bounce from our current support levels which we laid out earlier this week: Below is an article by Gary Gordon […]
ARE RECORD STOCK BUYBACKS APPROACHING AN “EMPTY TANK”! Warren Buffett is well known for comparing stock prices to GDP to assess whether stocks are becoming over-valued with inherent levels of excess risk. Stock buybacks this year continue to be financed with corporate leverage. However, the question is how much more leverage can corporations take on […]
CHINA CONSIDERING THREE TRADE WAR “TRUMP” CARDS Tyler Durden summarizes the Chinese media reporting on what options China has to play on the escalating US-China trade war situation: Amid the escalating economic war between the US and China, discussions have intensified on how Beijing might stand up to the economic power of America, especially given […]
IT INCREASINGLY IS ALL ABOUT GLOBAL DOLLAR LIQUIDITY Below are some charts & analysis from Nedbank’s Mehul Daya, initially re-published by WorldOutOfWhack.com then further annotated with comments by Tyler Durden. All support the work and analysis we have written about at MATASII concerning the out of control global unregulated influence of the EuroDollar System. […]
