MATASII 10Y UST – TNX CALL – CHART UPDATE MARCH 11th REVERSAL CALL w/ ~2.60% Near Term Target UPDATE 03-30-18 – ~2.60% Near Term Support Progressing as Anticipated YIELD SYNTHESIS: Yield Curve Flattening and showing potential to Invert, US Economic Hard & Soft Data Surprises Negative, Reduced Probability by Analysts of a Fourth FOMC Rate Hike […]
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MATASII 10Y UST – TNX CALL – CHART UPDATE
MATASII 10Y UST – TNX CALL – CHART UPDATE
FLATTENING YIELD CURVE ABOUT PRIMARILY GLOBAL SPREAD DIFFERENTIALS
FLATTENING YIELD CURVE ABOUT PRIMARILY GLOBAL SPREAD DIFFERENTIALS Why is the US Yield curve flattening and threatening to invert? Look no further than global yield differentials. Major global bond markets are offering near zero nominal values and negative in real terms. If you believe the US Dollar will maintain its strength or rise – […]
US 10Y UST – DOWNWARD PRESSURE SHORT TERM, UPWARD PRESSURE TO 2.9% IN 2018
US 10Y UST – DOWNWARD PRESSURE SHORT TERM, UPWARD PRESSURE TO 2.9% IN 2018 SHORT TERM – DOWNWARD PRESSURE ON YIELDS The recent move lower in yields underlines that despite: The ECB scaling back on bond purchases, A strong global business, Fed rate hikes .. we should not expect to see a rapid further rise […]
YIELD MOVES ARE NOW GLOBAL, MORE THAN EVER
Sovereign bond yields are really one big market in the current era. Different central banks are having different types of inflation or deflation fights all the time and are varying states of the stimulate-normalize-hike cycle at any given time. But this is swamped by the ability of global portfolio managers to allocate capital all over […]
EXPECT A FLIGHT TO SAFETY SCARE IN Q4 ( 10 y UST ~ 2.85) BEFORE HEADING LONG TERM < 1%
EXPECT A FLIGHT TO SAFETY SCARE IN Q4 ( 10 y UST ~ 2.85) BEFORE HEADING LONG TERM < 1% At MATASII we have been strong in OUR “UnderTheLens” and “LONGWave” videos that we see 10 Y UST rates below 1% long term. We have more recently felt (in our IDEA posts ) that a […]
KEY FOCUS: CHINA POTENTIALLY THREATENS A NEAR TERM US TREASURY SHORT SQUEEZE!
Problems in China are looming on top of an already very tenuous and misunderstood situation in the US Financial Markets. Additionally, Federal Reserve Policy has made the situation even more combustible! As a result of a Trump Victory inspired bond market massacre there are now few places that a yield starved world can presently find better risk-adjusted yields […]
CAUTION ADVISED: The Last Time Commercial Traders Bought This Many Bonds, Interest Rates Collapsed
CAUTION ADVISED: The Last Time Commercial Traders Bought This Many Bonds, Interest Rates Collapsed Commercial traders are net long more bond contracts than at any point since 1992 other than in the spring/summer of 2005 according to the latest data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. SOURCE: 12-13-16 ZeroHedge As Gavekal Capital’s Eric Bush points […]
TRUMP REACTION: Treasuries Plunge Most in Four Decades
TRUMP REACTION Treasuries Plunge Most in Four Decades 10Y UST = 2.06% 11/17: 2.28% 30Y UST = 2.85% 11/17: 3.00% The spread between yields on two- and 30-year debt increased 19 basis points to 195 basis points, the widest closing level since Feb. 4.