MAJOR TOPS & BOTTOMS ARE A PROCESS We reviewed the MATASII Tipping Point Posts for “Risk Reversal” over the last 30 days for distinctive messages.
SF Risk
THE CENTRAL BANKS HAVE WITHDRAWN LIQUIDITY TOO QUICKLY FOR AN OVER LEVERAGED SYSTEM
THE CENTRAL BANKS HAVE WITHDRAWN LIQUIDITY TOO QUICKLY FOR AN OVER LEVERAGED SYSTEM Synchronized global growth has turned into a synchronized global slowdown. Growth has already turned negative in two of the world’s largest economies, Japan and Germany, and is slowing rapidly in the world’s biggest economies, China and the U.S., CHINA GROWTH SLOWDOWN China […]
TIME IS RUNNING OUT ON THE US$ & ITS RESERVE CURRENCY STATUS
TIME IS RUNNING OUT ON THE US$ & ITS RESERVE CURRENCY STATUS MATASII RESEARCH “NOTES” CHANGING SENTIMENT TOWARDS THE US The dumping of the dollar is a process that is clearly underway. There has been a steady uptick in the number of countries dumping significant portions of their dollar holdings as a result of them having […]
MACRO ASSESSMENT – ASSET SELECTION
MACRO ASSESSMENT – ASSET SELECTION MACRO ASSESSMENT: The larger global macro theme hinges on the Fed’s continued hikes and deteriorating global cohesion theme. U.S. economy will be in a sharp slowdown next year, Key macroeconomic shift will be the end of outsized American economic out-performance — U.S. growth seen at an annualized rate of just […]
MARKET FALLS UNDER ITS OWN WEIGHT ON “KEY REVERSAL” DAY
MARKET FALLS UNDER ITS OWN WEIGHT ON “KEY REVERSAL” DAY The Dow opened Tuesday above 26,000 with the global stock melt-up giving signs of going parabolic after having witnessed the fastest 7 day Dow 1000 point rise in history! This following the move from 24,000 to 25,000 in the Dow in just 23 days. Then […]
WHAT THE CAPE/VIX RELATIONSHIP TELLS US IS LOOMING AHEAD
WHAT THE CAPE/VIX RELATIONSHIP TELLS US IS LOOMING AHEAD We were in the process of writing about the technical pattern in the VIX when we came across some research by Peter Schiff of Euro Pacific Capital illustrating the historical correlation of the CAPE/VIX Ratio to US Recessions go back to 1990. We have been warning about a […]
SMART SAVVY INVESTORS OR MINDLESS NEGLIGENCE?
SMART SAVVY INVESTORS OR MINDLESS NEGLIGENCE? “Stock Market has increased by 5.2 Trillion dollars since the election on November 8th, a 25% increase.” Dow’s up over 15.5 percent year-to-date. The value of global equities is now 3 1/2 times that at the financial crisis bottom in March 2009. The dollar-denominated capitalization of worldwide shares (Aided […]
WHAT IS DRIVING THIS RALLY’S RELENTLESS REGISTRATION OF RECORDS?
WHAT IS DRIVING THIS RALLY’S RELENTLESS REGISTRATION OF RECORDS? OBSERVATION By some quantitative measures, the recent bid is among the most relentless the market has seen in the past half century, No matter how the market opened, it has consistently closed the day strongly, Going back 55 years, the average cumulative intra-day losses over a 25-day […]
THE “ICARUS RALLY” AUTHORS SEES A LITTLE MORE TO GO WITHIN THE “GREAT DISRUPTION”
THE “ICARUS RALLY” AUTHORS SEES A LITTLE MORE TO GO WITHIN THE “GREAT DISRUPTION” BofA’s chief investment strategist Michael Hartnett originally coined the term “Icarus Rally” to define the rally driven by “Big Global QE and Big Global EPS”. The Icarus Rally was based on Disruption, Demographics, Debt continuing to prove deflationary, thereby tying the hands […]
WATCH US$ & CONSUMER COMFORT AS ECB’S OCTOBER 26TH MEETING APPROACHES!
WATCH US$ & CONSUMER COMFORT AS ECB’S OCTOBER 26TH MEETING APPROACHES! LATEST CONSUMER COMFORT UPDATE: US CONSUMER COMFORT PLUNGES MOST IN 13 MONTHS AS “PERSONAL FINANCE” FEARS MOUNT ————————————————————————————————– EXISTING POST: WATCH US$ & CONSUMER COMFORT AS ECB’S OCTOBER 26TH MEETING APPROACHES! Unless you have been living under a rock you are well aware of what […]