THE “JAWS” WILL BEGIN TO CLOSE IN APRIL WITH EARNINGS GUIDANCE MATASII RESEARCH ANALYSIS & SYNTHESIS: Is the bond market right in anticipating a period of acute deflation and/or recession, or is it wrong and stocks, which are less than 5% below their all-time highs, correct in their optimistic outlook? There have been two conflicting […]
CONSUMER CONFIDENCE PEAKS AS SAVINGS HITS CYCLICAL LOWS A PUBLIC SOURCED ARTICLE FOR MATASII (SUBSCRIBERS-RESEARCH & PUBLIC ACCESS ) READERS REFERENCE MATA: RISK MATASII SYNTHESIS: The yawning gap between the savings rate (low and getting lower) and consumer confidence (high and getting higher) reflects American consumers’ aptitude to borrow and spend at just the wrong time. Cyclical […]
BMO: OUR MARKET TIMING MODEL IS ABOUT AS NEGATIVE AS IT EVER GETS! A PUBLIC SOURCED ARTICLE FOR MATASII (SUBSCRIBERS & PUBLIC ACCESS) READERS REFERENCE SOURCE: 03-13-19 – – “BMO: Our Market Timing Model Is About As Negative As It Ever Gets” MATASII SYNTHESIS: “The divergence between the S&P 500 and the U.S. 2-year yield (which have […]
THESE ARE “POLICY MISTAKE FLOWS” – THERE IS A FEAR OF A “CREDIT EVENT” & “POLICY IMPOTENCE”! A PUBLIC SOURCED ARTICLE FOR MATASII (SUBSCRIBERS-RESEARCH & PUBLIC ACCESS ) READERS REFERENCE MATA: RISK 12-21-18 – “”A Sea Of Fed”: Record Outflows Confirm “Policy Mistake”” MATASII TAKEAWAYS: These are “Policy Mistake Flows”: With the Fed hiking for the 9th time, […]
OMINOUS SIGNAL: CTA’S JUST FLIPPED SHORT! POTENTIAL AVALANCHE WHEN S&P 500 < 2480 A PUBLIC SOURCED ARTICLE FOR MATASII (SUBSCRIBERS & PUBLIC ACCESS) READERS REFERENCE 12-20-18 – “Watch Out Below: For The First Time In Three Years, CTAs Just Flipped Short” MATASII TAKEAWAYS: Sentiment has clearly turned increasingly negative with bears increasing their domination of the market, […]
THE NEXT BIG MARKET RISK: HERE COMES A SHARP SLOWDOWN IN STOCK BUYBACKS A PUBLIC SOURCED ARTICLE FOR MATASII (SUBSCRIBERS-RESEARCH & PUBLIC ACCESS ) READERS REFERENCE MATA: RISK OFF-ON 11-04-18 – “The Next Big Market Risk: Here Comes A Sharp Slowdown In Stock Buybacks” MATASII TAKEAWAYS: Companies’ appetite to repurchase their own shares appears to be slowing sharply, […]
NOMURA WARNS OF SHIFT TO “RISK-NEGATIVE MINDSET” AS MARKET PULLS FORWARD END-OF-CYCLE TIMING A PUBLIC SOURCED ARTICLE FOR MATASII (SUBSCRIBERS-RESEARCH & PUBLIC ACCESS ) READERS REFERENCE MATA: RISK OFF-ON 10-23-18 – “The Market Is “Pulling Forward End-Of-Cycle Timing” – Nomura Warns of Shift To “Risk-Negative Mindset”” MATASII TAKEAWAYS: The realization of the fact that global central bank balance […]
THE LAST TIME YIELDS ROSE THIS FAST THE MARKET DROPPED DOUBLE DIGITS “We are at some sort of critical moment, a crossroads, for bond and equity markets,” Marie Owens Thomsen, global head of economic research at Indosuez Wealth Management, said noting that while U.S. 10-year yields at 2% unequivocally favored equity investment, this was not […]
INSIDER SELLING SOARS TO FASTEST PACE FOR SEPTEMBER IN PAST DECADE — SOURCE: 09-26-18 – “Insider Selling Soars: Fastest Pace Of September Sales In Past Decade” — One month ago, we reported that insider selling reached $450 million daily in August, the highest level this year; on a monthly basis, insiders sold more than $10 billion […]
LAST TIME “FEAR INDEX” & STOCKS TRADED THIS CLOSELY IT DIDN’T END WELL! — SOURCE: 09-01-18 MarketWatch – “The last time Wall Street’s ‘fear index’ and stocks traded this closely it didn’t end well” — The relationship between VIX and the stock indices looked a lot like this just before February unraveling Getty ImagesStocks and […]
