WHAT THE END OF THE DEBT SUPPER-CYCLE LIKELY PORTENDS! A PUBLIC SOURCED ARTICLE FOR MATASII (SUBSCRIBERS & PUBLIC ACCESS) READERS REFERENCE SOURCE: 02-23-19 – Daily Reckoning, Charles Hugh Smith – “The Approaching Winter: The Super-Cycle Has Turned” MATASII SYNTHESIS: Based on the history painstakingly assembled by Fischer and Turchin we can anticipate: — Ever higher prices […]
UNDERSTANDING THE INVESTMENT THESIS OF A FUND THAT IS “SHORT” THE MARKET A PUBLIC SOURCED ARTICLE FOR MATASII (SUBSCRIBERS & PUBLIC ACCESS) READERS REFERENCE SOURCE: 02-24-19 – Crescat Capital’s Shareholder Newsletter – “China Is Already In Recession, Get Ready For The Implosion” MATASII SYNTHESIS: It’s important to note that GAAP P/Es are in the 89th percentile today […]
RECESSION LIKELY STILL 22 MO AWAY IN 2020 – HOWEVER, FINANCIAL STRESS BEGINS NOW A PUBLIC SOURCED ARTICLE FOR MATASII (SUBSCRIBERS & PUBLIC ACCESS) READERS REFERENCE SOURCE: 02-18-19 – Christopher DEMBIK, Head of Macroeconomic Analysis, Saxobank, – “”This Time Is Not Different” – Saxobank Warns The Temporary Calm Won’t Last Long” MATASII SYNTHESIS: NY FED “RECESSION PROBABILITY […]
GLOBAL CENTRAL BANK BALANCE SHEETS REACTED TO THE Q4 MARKET TURMOIL A PUBLIC SOURCED ARTICLE FOR MATASII (SUBSCRIBERS & PUBLIC ACCESS) READERS REFERENCE MATASII SYNTHESIS: We are starting to get the evidence regarding central bank balance sheet activity beginning after the October 4th, 2018 market volatility began. Clearly the Central Bankers reacted and are still reacting. […]
WHY STOCKS ARE SOARING: WELLS FARGO IDENTIFIES A MASSIVE $64B BUY ORDER A PUBLIC SOURCED ARTICLE FOR MATASII (SUBSCRIBERS & PUBLIC ACCESS) READERS REFERENCE 12-21-18 – “Brace For “Seismic” Volatility: Pensions To Buy Record $60BN In Stocks In Coming Days” 12-27-18 – “Why Stocks Are Soaring: A Massive, $64 Billion Buy Order” MATASII TAKEAWAYS: WELLS FARGO’S ANALYSIS […]
CTA ACTIONS SUGGEST CHRISTMAS EVE LOWS LIKELY TO BE RETESTED – A “W” BOTTOM? A PUBLIC SOURCED ARTICLE FOR MATASII (SUBSCRIBERS & PUBLIC ACCESS) READERS REFERENCE 12-26-18 – “CTAs “Go For Broke”, Are Now Short Every Major Market” MATASII TAKEAWAYS: According to Nomura calculations, CTAs, or trend-following models had just turned bearish, going net short the S&P for […]
BEWARE OF A VIOLENT BEAR MARKET COUNTER RALLY The Long Term Trend Line for the S&P 500 going back to the Dotcom Bubble Highs suggest the market may be near an intial support level. The chart is based on a log scale for dramatic price movement during this 19 year period. Institutional Investors are prone […]
THERE IS A HIGH RISK POTENTIAL OF AN UNCONTROLLED ALGO SELLING FEEDBACK LOOP A PUBLIC SOURCED ARTICLE FOR MATASII (SUBSCRIBERS & PUBLIC ACCESS) READERS REFERENCE 12-22-18 – “Deutsche Bank Lists The Top 30 Risks To The Market In 2019, And One Surprise” MATASII TAKEAWAYS: Due to their inability to process nuanced fundamental information HFT may trigger surprisingly […]
OMINOUS SIGNAL: CTA’S JUST FLIPPED SHORT! POTENTIAL AVALANCHE WHEN S&P 500 < 2480 A PUBLIC SOURCED ARTICLE FOR MATASII (SUBSCRIBERS & PUBLIC ACCESS) READERS REFERENCE 12-20-18 – “Watch Out Below: For The First Time In Three Years, CTAs Just Flipped Short” MATASII TAKEAWAYS: Sentiment has clearly turned increasingly negative with bears increasing their domination of the market, […]
