Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS RISING INTEREST RATES KEEP YOUR EYES FIRMLY ON INFLATION PRESSURES GM joined Nissan & Ford this week in suspending production due to semiconductor shortages used in their vehicles. Global factory growth is being stymied by stalling exports and supply constraints. Meanwhile, US Services […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS RISING INTEREST RATES THE LULL BEFORE THE COMING STORM Both the US 5Y/5Y Forwards and 5Y Break-Even (see chart below) have firmed above their psychologically important 2% cut-off, as investors have started to accept a more robust shift towards fiscal stimuli […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis STRATEGIC INVESTMENT INSIGHTS S&P 500 MARKETS SETTING UP FOR ANOTHER INVESTOR SCARE Though the markets are in a confirmed uptrend that has not yet been broken (despite the March Covid-19 driven market plummet), three factors suggest we are nearing another market scare. A scare that […]
MATASII’S CORONAVIRUS TURN TRACKER CURRENT AS OF THE END OF DAY 07-12-20 NOTE: We Update these Charts Offline Daily – We Will Post a full Update the moment we see any change from the charts below KEYS TO WATCH: The first daily drop in cases in the US is an alert, The Initial Cross of […]
TRADE WAR MAY TAKE BACKSEAT TO TRUMP ADMIN’S ANTI-TRUST BLITZKRIEG Major announcements Monday of anti-trust probes into Amazon, Facebook and Google (Alphabet). Trump is getting ahead of Democratic Presidential candidate Elizabeth Warren’s platform. What we know: FACEBOOK: The FTC which is already preparing to levy a massive fine against Facebook for data privacy violations has […]
ARE RECORD STOCK BUYBACKS APPROACHING AN “EMPTY TANK”! Warren Buffett is well known for comparing stock prices to GDP to assess whether stocks are becoming over-valued with inherent levels of excess risk. Stock buybacks this year continue to be financed with corporate leverage. However, the question is how much more leverage can corporations take on […]
SOUTH KOREAN ECONOMY: THE GLOBAL TRADE REVENUE REALITY Korean Exports are now Down 8.2% One of the most-followed bellwethers for global growth just flashed another death-knell warning. Economy Unexpectedly Plunges Most In A Decade, South Korea’s gross domestic product unexpectedly shrank in Q1, dropping 0.3% QoQ (against expectations of a 0.3% rise). This is the biggest contraction in a decade as […]
DRAMATICALLY DETERIORATING GLOBAL EPS GROWTH FORECASTS — MATASII RESEARCH ANALYSIS & SYNTHESIS — 4% Global EPS growth forecast in 2019, Down from 24% in 2018 The US economic cycle is set to become the longest in history in July 2019; but US, Eurozone & Chinese growth has repeatedly struggled to exceed expectations. The inability of […]
UNDERSTANDING THE INVESTMENT THESIS OF A FUND THAT IS “SHORT” THE MARKET A PUBLIC SOURCED ARTICLE FOR MATASII (SUBSCRIBERS & PUBLIC ACCESS) READERS REFERENCE SOURCE: 02-24-19 – Crescat Capital’s Shareholder Newsletter – “China Is Already In Recession, Get Ready For The Implosion” MATASII SYNTHESIS: It’s important to note that GAAP P/Es are in the 89th percentile today […]
BOTH DEMOCRATS & REPUBLICANS COMING AFTER TAX REVENUES FROM 2017 BUYBACK TAX CHANGES A PUBLIC SOURCED ARTICLE FOR MATASII (SUBSCRIBERS & PUBLIC ACCESS) READERS REFERENCE SOURCE: 02-13-19 – CNBC – “GOP Sen Marco Rubio takes aim at stock buybacks, an issue under attack by Democrats” SOURCE: 02-12-19 – MarketWatch – “Marco Rubio rolls out his own plan to […]
