RETAIL INVESTORS IN US STOCKS ARE NOW THE MOST BEARISH ON THE MARKET’S DIRECTION SINCE FEBRUARY 2016 A PUBLIC SOURCED ARTICLE FOR MATASII (SUBSCRIBERS-RESEARCH & PUBLIC ACCESS ) READERS REFERENCE MATA: SENTIMENT 11-26-18 – Charts Extracted from Bloomberg and: “Stocks Bounce On Biggest Short Squeeze In A Month” Retail investors in U.S. stocks are now the most […]
SF Sentiment
CONSUMER COMFORT AT HIGHS NOT SEEN SINCE PRIOR TO DOTCOM BUBBLE IMPLOSION
CONSUMER COMFORT AT HIGHS NOT SEEN SINCE PRIOR TO DOTCOM BUBBLE IMPLOSION The Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index is presently at highs not seen since prior to the the Dotcom Bubble implosion. The Index has historically been found to be an excellent leading indicator of Forward PE for the S&P 500 however the divergence between the […]
CONSUMER COMFORT SIGNALS FURTHER MARKET UPSIDE LIKELY
CONSUMER COMFORT SIGNALS FURTHER MARKET UPSIDE LIKELY The Consumer Comfort Index normally leads the S&P 500 Forward P/E. (Search MATASII site: Consumer Comfort for details). It is presently sending a strong signal that the markets should extend their current upward trend once the current consolidation is complete. The Consumer Comfort Index is now diverging from […]
UNDERSTANDING CONSUMER COMFORT: POWER POINT PRESENTATION
LONGWave-04-11-18-APRIL-Sentiment Slide Deck
SENTIMENT: CONSUMER COMFORT CLIMBS TO 17 YEAR HIGH
SENTIMENT: CONSUMER COMFORT CLIMBS TO 17 YEAR HIGH In an editorial 08-22-17 entitled “WHAT WE KEEP FORGETTING ABOUT MARKET EUPHORIA & GREED” I outlined that in the Short Term the market reacts to Sentiment. I showed that research by Dr Ed Yardeni indicated how closely) the Consumer Comfort Index in fact tracks the Forward S&P […]
SENTIMENT: THE CONCERN ABOUT ELEVATED CONSUMER CONFIDENCE DOESN’T GET MUCH CLEARER THAN THIS!
SENTIMENT: THE CONCERN ABOUT ELEVATED CONSUMER CONFIDENCE DOESN’T GET MUCH CLEARER THAN THIS! H/T to Source: Jesse Felder
SENTIMENT: CONSUMER COMFORT CORRELATES WITH FORWARD S&P 500 PE
SENTIMENT: CONSUMER COMFORT CORRELATES WITH FORWARD S&P 500 PE In my recent editorial entitled “WHAT WE KEEP FORGETTING ABOUT MARKET EUPHORIA & GREED” I outlined that in the Short Term the market reacts to Sentiment. The following research by Dr Ed Yardeni shows how closely (bottom chart) the Consumer Comfort Index in fact tracks the […]
MARGIN DEBT: HISTORICALLY DECLINES FOR ~3 MO BEFORE MARKETS DECLINE
MARGIN DEBT: HISTORICALLY DECLINES FOR ~3 MO BEFORE MARKETS DECLINE — ABSTRACTED FROM: 04-04-17 Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, “Margin Debt Hits Record, Nothing To Worry About?” Currently, margin debt is still rising as the “fear of missing out” on potential upside in the market is trumping longer-term logic of risk management and portfolio controls. However, […]
CONSUMER CONFIDENCE AT 15 YEAR HIGH
CONSUMER CONFIDENCE AT 15 YEAR HIGH We have a matching downward trend in both Consumer Confidence Regression and the GDP Regression over the last 40 years. The Head and Shoulders pattern is reflective of a topping pattern as the public is losing confidence in the “American Dream” and economic future. Previous highs in Consumer Confidence […]