WHEN DID THE FED START BUYING EQUITIES? – INDICATIONS ARE WHEN “TAPER” ENDED! We see the forensic “finger prints” all over the economic and financial data that the Federal Reserve through a proxy likely Citadel Capital (or the Fed’s CBOE Volume Options Agreement) has highly likely been buying the US equity market since its QE 3 […]
COMMENTARY
KEY FOCUS: CHINA POTENTIALLY THREATENS A NEAR TERM US TREASURY SHORT SQUEEZE!
Problems in China are looming on top of an already very tenuous and misunderstood situation in the US Financial Markets. Additionally, Federal Reserve Policy has made the situation even more combustible! As a result of a Trump Victory inspired bond market massacre there are now few places that a yield starved world can presently find better risk-adjusted yields […]
KEY FOCUS: A BROKEN BOND BOUNCE BECKONS!
A BROKEN BOND BOUNCE BECKONS! HISTORICAL CORRELATIONS GIVE US A CLUE TO WHAT MAY BE AHEAD! A FALLING GLOBAL MARKET CAP TREND CHANNEL The old adage that the “Trend is Your Friend” has proven to be the one that separates the winners from the losers. The key however is whether you recognize the right trend! We […]
KEY FOCUS: WATCH THE RUSSELL FOR THE NEAR TERM END OF THE TRUMP RALLY
KEY FOCUS: WATCH THE RUSSELL FOR THE NEAR TERM END OF THE TRUMP RALLY END OF MEGAPHONE AND INVERSE HEAD & SHOULDERS NET SHORTS OF “SMART MONEY” NOW CONSIDER THIS RUSSELL 2000 MINI FUTURES: Largest Net Short Position Ever! HISTORIC 3-DECADE TRIPLE TOP YOU MAY ALSO WANT TO CONSIDER THIS WE ARE TESTING A 3-DECADE […]
IN DEPTH: THE SOON TO ERUPT EURO EXPERIMENT
THE SOON TO ERUPT EURO EXPERIMENT THE EURO EXPERIMENT It was always blatantly clear that an EU monetary union would inevitably require a political union to centralize decisions about tax and public spending. Without this occurring it was a misconceived and terrible blunder (that some of us argued it was when it was initially constructed) but […]
CYCLES – A FUSE, AN EXPLOSIVE AND THE IGNITING CATALYST
CYCLES – A FUSE, AN EXPLOSIVE AND THE IGNITING CATALYST Gordon T Long – 12-01-16 Investors need to focus on the two key long term structural changes now underway which are going to ignite destructive global dislocations through early 2020. To better understand why this is going to occur we need to place them in context by first examining […]
KEY FOCUS: DID THE “TRUMP TANTRUM” JUST TRIGGER THE NEXT US RECESSION?
KEY FOCUS: DID THE “TRUMP TANTRUM” JUST TRIGGER THE NEXT US RECESSION? TRUMP MAY HAVE “PRICKED” THE GLOBAL BOND BUBBLE Trump called during the campaign for a $1 trillion infrastructure package, $5 trillion in tax cuts, increases in military spending and the repeal ObamaCare, which could cost more than $350 billion over 10 years. At the […]
DID PRESIDENT-ELECT TRUMP JUST INADVERTENTLY KILL THE GOLDEN GOOSE?
DID PRESIDENT-ELECT TRUMP JUST INADVERTENTLY KILL THE GOLDEN GOOSE? President-Elect Trump may have just unwittingly sowed an equity market draw-down which will send even more protesters into the streets of America. Donald Trump’s stated economic policies are clearly pro-growth and if he manages to implement his pro-business, anti-regulation agenda, in the longer term they have the […]
WATCH THE EU BANKS AFTER US ELECTION GYRATIONS ARE OVER
WATCH THE EU BANKS AFTER US ELECTION GYRATIONS ARE OVER We may not know for a fact who will win the US election, but what we do know is that the Credit Cycle has turned. This will turn out to be more important in the near term, once the expected US Election market gyrations have […]
WHAT ARE THE CENTRAL BANKERS SO AFRAID OF?
WHAT ARE THE CENTRAL BANKERS SO AFRAID OF? UNPRECEDENTED GLOBAL LIQUIDITY PUMPING Global central bank liquidity injections have never been greater, and as of this moment, have surpassed all previous post-financial crisis central bank intervention. As a matter of fact we are now pumping over $200B / month. THE FIAT CURRENCY CARTEL This chart which was recently […]