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IDEAS – Investment & Trading Ideas
- VC Visteon Corporation IDEA
July 19, 2017
Our weekly view shows VC in the middle of a long term channel; at the beginning of this year we can see the recent lift starting in earnest as it makes its final push off channel support. The daily chart (right) shows the current market lifting within a smaller blue channel and bouncing between - AXL American Axle & Manufacturing IDEA
July 19, 2017
Our long term weekly perspective (left chart) shows AXL in a potential contracting wedge pattern. Solid orange highlights the patterns support & resistance; breaking these offers potential opportunities for the next significant move from the market. Along with the patterns support & resistance, blue s/r zones can be seen to have held the market, both - LEA Lear Corporation IDEA
July 19, 2017
The weekly view for LEA (left chart) shows a large lifting expanding wedge, with the market now at the top resistance of the pattern. The daily chart on the right gives us a closer look at the recent consolidation pattern since the market has reached the weekly pattern resistance. Solid orange lines highlight significant technicals - FCAU Fiat Chrysler Automobiles IDEA
July 16, 2017
Our MACRO BIAS for the auto industry in general is negative - we don't see it holding up in the long run. When we take a look at FCAU's chart however, we can clearly see a positive trend still under way. The left hand weekly chart shows a long term expanding wedge, with the market - GM General Motors IDEA
July 8, 2017
After reaching a high of almost $42.00 at the end of 2013, GM has shown some volatility, falling off and retesting the $38-39 level several times (on the high end) while finding support around $27. Three blue s/r zones can be seen to make channels offering potnetial opportunities as the market bounces off or moves - HOG Harley-Davidson IDEA
July 8, 2017
The weekly view (left chart) shows HOG has fallen off from highs in 2014; a bounce from 2016 has lifted / retraced that market drop more than 61.8%. Recent resistance has been found and if the market continues to fall there is a possibility of significantly more drop to come. The long-term weekly chart shows - SII: FANGS – BEING “DE-FANGED” FOR A “QUADRUPLE WITCH” CONSOLIDATION
June 15, 2017
SII: FANGS - BEING "DE-FANGED" FOR A "QUADRUPLE WITCH" CONSOLIDATION As we moved towards the June 16th Quadruple Options Witch we have carefully followed our SII: FANGS. Between the Friday June 9th "Mini Flash Crash" and the subsequent 61.8% retracement through Wednesday June 14th we could see the possibilities of a clear ABC consolidation pattern - HERTZ MAY NOT SURVIVE THE NEXT BUMP IN THE AUTO CYCLE!
April 19, 2017
HERTZ MAY NOT SURVIVE THE NEXT BUMP IN THE AUTO - AVIS & HERTZ “RISK” CARS ON A COLLISION COURSE
April 19, 2017
AVIS & HERTZ "RISK" CARS ON A COLLISION COURSE DEBT HOLDERS CAUGHT: Debt issued by Hertz Global Holdings Inc. and Avis Budget Group Inc., which had traded at or above par in recent years, tumbled to new lows earlier this month amid signs that used-vehicle prices are dropping twice as much as expected. RETURNS: That’s - THE ROAD AHEAD FOR FORD FULL OF POTHOLES!
April 18, 2017
THE ROAD AHEAD FOR FORD FULL OF POTHOLES Summary Auto Industry Car sales are breaking down as the Auto Cycle rolls over, Ford earnings Y-o-Y fell by 50% last quarter as they warned about 2017 and 2018, Nearly 8M cars to come back off lease over next 18 months, Sales Incentives at ~ $3750/Unit are - Outcomes & Performance: FANG & NOSH Watch List
April 11, 2017
Last spring we gave some potential technical entry considerations for the FANG & NOSH stocks. Below is the watch list given showing the Long & Short considerations, the current price as of this post, and the return that could have resulted. Note that all the markets are currently off their 52 week highs and even - GPI Group 1 Automotive IDEA
April 3, 2017
The larger pattern on the weekly chart shows a potential double top forming for GPI. The daily chart shows the most recent market movement coming off significant technicals and falling within a channel. Breaking from this channel (orange dashed highlight), up or down, would be a trigger consideration for a move to the next significant - ANF Abercrombie & Fitch OUTCOME & PERFORMANCE
March 21, 2017
In May 2016 we posted ANF with some potential technical opportunities to consider. The left hand chart is the daily at that time; the right hand chart shows the current market as of March 21st, 2017. "X" marks the same location on both charts to help with orientation. From X we see a wiggle - FOMC MEETING: NAILED THE BOND YIELD MOVEMENT!
March 15, 2017
FOMC MEETING: NAILED THE BOND YIELD MOVEMENT! Everything rose in reaction to the interest rate news except the U.S. Dollar. The reaction we saw in the markets to this news may be like a Chess player thinking four moves ahead. Bonds rose sharply on the news, in other words, long-term interest rates fell. If - JCP IDEA OUTCOME, HPTZ Method & Market Roadmap
March 14, 2017
Our original post and ideas can be seen on the left hand chart (JCP daily), posted May 11th, 2016. The right hand chart is the current daily JCP (March 14th, 2016). The long term macro bias for this has been negative, and overall the market is now down 25% ($8 - $6). It could have - WMT IDEA OUTCOME, HPTZ Method & Market Road Map
March 12, 2017
The High Probability Target Zones methodology (HPTZ) that is used to assess our charts provides a detailed and accurate market road map that can be used to facilitate any investment or trading strategies. Below we show an example of this using WMT, originally posted May 11th, 2016. The solid orange lines seen on the left - XLY IDEA OUTCOME +6.46%
March 5, 2017
After our initial posting the market continued sideways with a slight positive slant. An initial drop off and then lift stay within the potential trigger consideration boundaries before finally breaking to the up side. An orange dashed arrow highlights a potential move to watch for, and we can see that the market has now reached - THE BOND MARKET IS NOT BEING FOOLED BY “2017 TRUMP CROSS CURRENTS”
February 28, 2017
THE BOND MARKET IS NOT BEING FOOLED BY "2017 TRUMP CROSS CURRENTS" Long Term US Treasury Yields have been is an unrelenting downward trend since Paul Volcker was Fed Chairman in the early '80's. This trend is not about to be reversed because there is simply no other solution to the US debt problem. The Federal - TRUMP “WOBBLE TRADE” – 10Y UST
January 17, 2017 - DCO Ducommun Incorporated Technical Update
January 6, 2017
The larger pattern on the weekly chart has a potential double bottom; and the current lift from the beginning of 2016 could be a 3rd or C wave. IF this is the case, we would expect the current lift to be similar to the first (2012-2014), potentially taking the market up around $36.00. The daily - FACEBOOK AT CRITICAL SUPPORT – NEEDS TO FIND FIRMER SUPPORT
December 30, 2016
FACEBOOK AT CRITICAL SUPPORT - NEEDS TO FIND FIRMER SUPPORT - TREND CHANNEL SUPPORT AT - A Near Term Trading Opportunity in the World’s Most Crowded Trade?
December 30, 2016
A Near Term Trading Opportunity in the World's Most Crowded Trade? The world's largest, most active overweight crowded trade is in Amazon.com stock At 175x P/E what could go wrong? - An Overall Post TRUMP Rally / YB Consolidation / Correction?? Ending Diagonals Are usually dependable trading patterns. They aren't unusual. What is unusual is one - “SMART MONEY” MASSIVELY SHORTING THE RUSSELL 2000 BASED ON TWO DEPENDABLE CHART PATTERNS
December 17, 2016
TIME TO SHORT THE RUSSELL 2000? END OF MEGAPHONE AND INVERSE HEAD & SHOULDERS NET SHORTS OF "SMART MONEY" NOW CONSIDER THIS RUSSELL 2000 MINI FUTURES: Largest Net Short Position Ever! HISTORIC 3-DECADE TRIPLE TOP YOU MAY ALSO WANT TO CONSIDER THIS WE ARE TESTING A 3-DECADE TRIPLE TOP IN THE VALUE LINE GEOMETRIC - SII TGT 5 Day Trade +10 1/3%
May 21, 2016
TRADE SET-UP Target was sitting about 1/2 way within a long term upward trending channel (blue). Recent movement had found support and resistance from previous s/r zones - green zones above and below current market. The technical trade considerations accounted for a lift or drop from the channel created by the green s/r zones. Target
