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IDEAS – Investment & Trading Ideas

  • TNX CBOE 10yr Treasury Note Yield IDEA
    April 30, 2018
    Our previous update (Jan 21/2017) gave a couple of high probability possibilities to watch out for.  Our first paragraph said: "An initial break of 2.3 offers potential opportunity for a drop to fill the first gap, with a another potential drop to the next blue s/r zone below".  This is pretty
  • USD Idea Outcome
    March 4, 2018
    Back in October 2017 we offered an idea for the USD, indicating the potential for a little more up and then another significant drop.  This aligned with our potential Elliott Wave count of wave 4 completing and another drop, wave 5, to go.  Here is the chart given at the time:  USD next paths to
  • MATASII: 10 UST YIELD ~2.85 June 2018
    February 2, 2018
    MATASII: 10 UST YIELD ~2.85 June
  • WARNING: SOMETHING IS BROKEN IN THE HIGH YIELD & CREDIT MARKETS!
    November 10, 2017
    WARNING: SOMETHING IS BROKEN IN THE HIGH YIELD & CREDIT MARKETS! WE HAVE THE BEGINNINGS OF A DECOUPLING BETWEEN EQUITY & CREDIT RISK CHARTS TO WATCH: JNK (BELOW) and HYG   WHAT YOU NEED TO READ: Is The Junk Bond Bubble Bursting Before Your Very Eyes? 11-09-17 Heisenberg, The Chart That
  • IDEAS: HARVEY CAUSING “UNPRECEDENTED” DISRUPTIONS TO SUPPLIES OF “ESSENTIAL” CHEMICALS
    September 1, 2017
    IDEAS: HARVEY CAUSING "UNPRECEDENTED" DISRUPTIONS TO SUPPLIES OF "ESSENTIAL" CHEMICALS I just had breakfast  with a friend who is the head of supply for a large hospital chain. He sees Harvey in a different light based on his experience with Katrina  - and Harvey is an order of magnitude worse in
  • EXPECT A FLIGHT TO SAFETY SCARE IN Q4 ( 10 y UST ~ 2.85) BEFORE HEADING LONG TERM < 1%
    September 1, 2017
    EXPECT A FLIGHT TO SAFETY SCARE IN Q4 ( 10 y UST ~ 2.85) BEFORE HEADING LONG TERM < 1% At MATASII we have been strong in OUR "UnderTheLens" and "LONGWave" videos that we see 10 Y UST rates below 1% long term. We have more recently felt (in our IDEA posts ) that a
  • CMI Cummins IDEA
    August 28, 2017
    CMI has recently broken through a long term weekly channel that had contained the market during its lift through 2016-17.  This may be the warning or the start of a bigger move down or just a correction to the large lift since 2016.  Significant supports are near by and we will be watching to see
  • MLM Martin Marietta Materials IDEA
    August 28, 2017
    The weekly chart on the left shows a potential double top for MLM.  The latest drop has moved the market to the s/r of the previous pattern, where we can see on the daily chart (right) that it has just broken through.  Watching to see if support is found here, or if it will continue
  • USCR U.S. Concrete IDEA
    August 26, 2017
    USCR has recently pulled back and and is approaching the weekly 34ma (left chart, pink ma). This offers potential opportunity for the market to bounce from the 34ma and lift to the UBB, or break through and drop to the LBB.  Note that these BB's are roughly aligning with recent market highs and
  • JCI Johnson Controls International IDEA
    August 16, 2017
    The weekly view of JCI shows the market has reached previous high levels (left edge of left chart), and may be putting in a potential double top (left chart, current).  The lift from JCI sine 2003 has done so in a contracting wedge: a break of the pattern could offer opportunity. IF we do see