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  • CHINA’S “WINTIME ENERGY” ENTERS BANKRUPTCY & PLACES SPOTLIGHT ON ZOMBIE CORPORATE DEBT
    July 19, 2018
    CHINA'S "WINTIME ENERGY" ENTERS BANKRUPTCY & PLACES SPOTLIGHT ON ZOMBIE CORPORATE DEBT -- SOURCE: 07-18-18 - Bloomberg - "A China Borrower’s $11 Billion Debt Mountain Comes Crashing Down" --  Wintime Energy’s debt quadrupled in less than five years  Company’s flop likely to be echoed as deleveraging rolls on -- SOURCE: 07-18-18 - Bloomberg - "More
  • CHINA FLIRTS WITH STEALTH QE AMID SLOWING GROWTH & POTENTIAL CAPITAL ACCOUNT PROBLEMS
    July 19, 2018
    CHINA FLIRTS WITH STEALTH QE AMID SLOWING GROWTH & POTENTIAL CAPITAL ACCOUNT PROBLEMS -- SOURCE: 07-19-18 - "Global Stocks, Futures Slide As Yuan Crashes" -- Having ignored the creeping devaluation in the Yuan in recent days, today global equity markets had no choice but to notice that the plunge in the offshore Yuan is accelerating,
  • CHINA LAUNCHES “QUASI QE” TO SUPPORT BANKS & SLIDING BOND MARKET
    July 19, 2018
    CHINA LAUNCHES "QUASI QE" TO SUPPORT BANKS & SLIDING BOND MARKET -- SOURCE: 07-18-18 - "China Launches Quasi QE To Support Banks And Sliding Bond Market" -- With the ECB's QE coming to an end at the end of the year (absent some shock to the market or economy), some traders have already been voicing
  • IMF WARNS: REDUCES GLOBAL ECONOMIC OUTLOOK WITH CONCERNS OF “SUDDEN REPRICING” IN ASSET PRICES
    July 19, 2018
    IMF WARNS: REDUCES GLOBAL ECONOMIC OUTLOOK WITH CONCERNS OF "SUDDEN REPRICING" IN ASSET PRICES -- SOURCE: 07-16-18 - "IMF Warns Of "Sudden Repricing" In Asset Prices As It Trims Global Economic Outlook" -- The Washington-sponsored IMF is out with its latest set of guesses at global growth, warning that amid rising tensions over international trade, the
  • RUSSIA LIQUIDATES 91% ($87B) OF ITS US TREASURY HOLDINGS IN 90 DAYS
    July 18, 2018
    RUSSIA LIQUIDATES 91% ($87B) OF ITS US TREASURY HOLDINGS IN 90 DAYS -- SOURCE: 07-18-18 - "Russia Liquidates Its US Treasury Holdings" -- Last month we showed that as Trade Wars began in April, the world's central banks and other official institutions dumped more Treasuries than in any month since January 2016, some $48.3BN, perhaps over concerns
  • EUROPEAN POWERS PREPARE TO SCRAP DOLLAR IN IRAN TRADE AS DISGUST WITH “AMERICAN FIRST” POLICIES MOUNT
    July 13, 2018
    EUROPEAN POWERS PREPARE TO SCRAP DOLLAR IN IRAN TRADE AS DISGUST WITH "AMERICAN FIRST" POLICIES MOUNT -- SOURCE: 07-11-18 MintPressNews.com, Elliott Gabriel - "European Powers Prepare to Scrap Dollar in Iran Trade as Disgust With “America First” Policies Mount" -- European Powers Prepare to Scrap Dollar in Iran Trade as Disgust With “America First” Policies
  • THE US BUDGET DEFICIT WAS UP 16% YTD OVER JUNE LAST YEAR AS INTEREST EXPENSE EXPLODES
    July 13, 2018
    THE US BUDGET DEFICIT WAS UP 16% YTD OVER JUNE LAST YEAR AS INTEREST EXPENSE EXPLODES -- SOURCE: 07-12-18 ZeroHedge - "US Budget Deficit Hits $607 Billion In 9 Months, As Spending On Interest Explodes" -- The US is starting to admit that it has a spending problem. According to the latest Monthly Treasury Statement, in
  • DR. COPPER IS SICK – GLOBAL GROWTH SCARE LOOMS AFTER BIGGEST DROP IN 7 YEARS
    July 12, 2018
    DR. COPPER IS SICK - GLOBAL GROWTH SCARE LOOMS AFTER BIGGEST DROP IN 7 YEARS -- SOURCE: 07-11-18 ZeroHedge - "Dr.Copper Is Sick - Global Growth Scare Looms After Biggest Drop In 7 Years" -- When Dr.Copper is surging, there is no better indication of the world's economic growth success. However, when Dr.Copper is not
  • MORE PAIN AHEAD FOR EMERGING MARKETS AS TRADE WAR GETS HOTTER
    July 12, 2018
    MORE PAIN AHEAD FOR EMERGING MARKETS AS TRADE WAR GETS HOTTER -- SOURCE: 07-12-18 CNBC - "More pain ahead for emerging markets as trade war gets hotter" -- The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets exchange-traded fund (EEM) is down more than 7 percent for the year as trade tensions between the world's largest economies intesify. Among
  • SEVEN PRESENT TAKEAWAYS FROM THE US-CHINA TARIFF ESCALATION
    July 12, 2018
    SEVEN PRESENT TAKEAWAYS FROM THE US-CHINA TARIFF ESCALATION -- SOURCE: 07-11-18 Standard Chartered, Steven Englander, head of Global G10 FX - "Seven Takeaways From The US Tariff Escalation" -- We were surprised that the escalation occurred so rapidly but not that the US decided to press its advantage (see Questioning Friday's market optimism). The US announcement was
  • JAPAN’S BOJ: INVESTORS GIVE UP HOPE OF “NORMALIZATION”!
    July 11, 2018
    JAPAN'S BOJ: INVESTORS GIVE UP HOPE OF "NORMALIZATION"! -- SOURCE: 07-10-18 ZeroHedge - "Japanese Yield Curve Collapses, Investors Give Up Hopes Of BoJ Normalization" -- While a day doesn't go by when the US Treasury yield curve's plunge is not discussed (and its flattening again today)... As its recessionary-signaling prowess from the past is questioned
  • GLOBAL CORPORATE DEBT EXPLODES HIGHER BY 28% IN 5 YEARS
    July 11, 2018
    GLOBAL CORPORATE DEBT EXPLODES HIGHER BY 28% IN 5 YEARS The growth in Corporate debt stands out in the recently released  IIF's latest Global Debt Monitor, The area in red doesn't reflect the latest IIF report but it can be seen that Global Corporate Debt growth has been rapidly rising since the 2008 Financial
  • IIF WARNS: GLOBAL DEBT HITS A RECORD $247T
    July 11, 2018
    IIF WARNS: GLOBAL DEBT HITS A RECORD $247T -- SOURCE: 07-10-18 ZeroHedge - "As Global Debt Hits A Record $247 Trillion, The IIF Issues A Warning" -- Every quarter the Institute of International Finance publishes a new number of the total amount of global debt outstanding, and every quarter the result is the same: a
  • HIGHER RATES, RISING OIL PRICES & A STRONG US DOLLAR HAS HISTORICALLY BEEN THE “TERRIBLE TRIO” FOR EMERGING MARKETS
    July 11, 2018
    HIGHER RATES, RISING OIL PRICES & A STRONG US DOLLAR HAS HISTORICALLY BEEN THE "TERRIBLE TRIO" FOR EMERGING MARKETS -- SOURCE: 07-11-18 ZeroHedge - ""The Terrible Trio": Why Goldman Thinks "Something's Gotta Give" -- Call it "Rodrik's Trilemma" for the Emerging Markets: the combination of higher rates, rising oil prices, and a stronger dollar has historically
  • YIELD CURVE INVERTS AFTER THE DECEMBER FOMC MEETING – US RECESSION 18 MONTHS LATER
    July 11, 2018
    YIELD CURVE INVERTS AFTER THE DECEMBER FOMC MEETING - US RECESSION 18 MONTHS LATER It is different this time. Asset prices are a signal, such a pity that sometimes this information cannot be discerned until after the fact.  What is truly different this time is that past inversions have rotated around a ~5%-rate while this
  • GLOBAL DOLLAR SHORTAGE STEADILY WORSENING
    July 5, 2018
    GLOBAL DOLLAR SHORTAGE STEADILY WORSENING -- SOURCE: 07-03-18 Palisade Research.com, Adem Tumerlin - "Looming Dollar Shortage Getting Worse As Emerging Markets Implode" -- One of the most important macro-situations that’s developing right now is the looming U.S. dollar shortage. I don’t mean in the sense that banks don’t have enough dollars to lend out –
  • REPORTS THAT THE ECB MAY BE CONSIDERING AN “OPERATION TWIST”
    July 4, 2018
    REPORTS THAT THE ECB MAY BE CONSIDERING AN "OPERATION TWIST" -- SOURCE: 06-29-18 ZeroHedge - "European Yield Curve Collapses On Report ECB Considering "Operation Twist"   Back in April, BofA analyst Barnaby Martin suggested that in order to mitigate the potential fallout from the end of the ECB's QE, the European Central Bank could engage
  • LIKE THE LATE 1920’s WE MAY SEE A LATE CYCLE, LAST-GAP RUN-UP IN EQUITIES BEFORE THE CRASH!
    July 3, 2018
    LIKE THE LATE 1920's WE MAY SEE A LATE CYCLE, LAST-GAP RUN-UP IN EQUITIES BEFORE THE CRASH! Late Cycle, Last-Gasp 1920's Run Up As A Result of Interest Rate Cuts   -- SOURCE: 06-28-18, GoldMoney.com ,Alasdair Macleod - "Irrational Beliefs Are Ruling Markets" -- To understand the consequences of the credit cycle, we must dismiss pure
  • CREDIT CYCLE: A JAPANESE DRIVEN TSUNAMI OUT OF US CLO’s?
    July 3, 2018
    CREDIT CYCLE: A JAPANESE DRIVEN TSUNAMI OUT OF US CLO's? -- SOURCE: June Market Views - Horseman Capital - "A Tsunami Out of US CLO's? Japan is at the very centre of the global financial system. It has run current account surpluses for decades, building the world's largest net foreign investment surplus, or its accumulated national
  • IRANIAN PRESIDENT REOPENS NUCLEAR PLANT: “WE WILL BRING THE US TO ITS KNEES!”
    July 2, 2018
    IRANIAN PRESIDENT REOPENS NUCLEAR PLANT: "WE WILL BRING THE US TO ITS KNEES!" -- SOURCE: 06-28-18 SHTFplan.com, Mac Slavo - "Iranian President Reopens Nuclear Plant: "We Will Bring The US To Its Knees"  -- Iranian president Hassan Rouhani said on Wednesday: “We will bring the US to its knees in this battle of wills.” The Iranian government is continuing to
  • WSJ: NORTH KOREA EXPANDS KEY MISSILE MANUFACTURING PLANT
    July 2, 2018
    WSJ: NORTH KOREA EXPANDS KEY MISSILE MANUFACTURING PLANT New satellite imagery indicates Pyongyang is pushing ahead with weapons programs even as it pursues dialogue with Washington -- SOURCE: 07-02-18 WSJ - "North Korea Expands Key Missile-Manufacturing Plant" -- Timelapse: North Korea's Missile Factory Being Built Satellite imagery shows North Korea has been expanding a major
  • NEW TYPE OF FALSE FLAG: A TRADE WAR AS BANKING’S COVER FOR ‘A NEW WORLD ORDER’
    June 29, 2018
    NEW TYPE OF FALSE FLAG: A TRADE WAR AS BANKING’S COVER FOR 'A NEW WORLD ORDER' -- SOURCE: 06-28-18 Alt-Market.com,  Brandon Smith - "Trade War Provides Perfect Cover For The Elitist Engineered Global Reset" -- Over the past several months, I have been examining the underlying or hidden motivations behind the currently expanding global trade war,
  • FALLING AUSTRIAN MONEY SUPPLY GROWTH RATE HIGHLY SUGGESTS A US RECESSION AHEAD
    June 28, 2018
    FALLING AUSTRIAN MONEY SUPPLY GROWTH RATE HIGHLY SUGGESTS A US RECESSION AHEAD -- SOURCES: 06-28-18 The Mises Institute, Ryan McMaken - "Money-Supply Growth Slides Again, Falling to 3-Month Low" -- Money supply growth fell to a three-month low in May this year, continuing a general downward slide in growth rates that's been in place since late
  • THE COMPLEX RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN EURODOLLAR SHORTAGES & A FALLING CHINESE YUAN
    June 28, 2018
    THE COMPLEX RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN EURODOLLAR SHORTAGES & A FALLING CHINESE YUAN -- SOURCE: 06-26-18 Alhambra Investment Partners, Jeffrey Snider - "Revisiting China and ‘Devaluation’ As China Revisits ‘Devaluation’" When the Chinese yuan suddenly plummeted in mid-August 2015, the world looked on in stunned confusion. It didn’t make sense. The global economy was about to take off, they
  • WHY THE BANKS HAVE STOPPED LENDING & THEIR STOCKS ARE FALLING
    June 28, 2018
    WHY THE BANKS HAVE STOPPED LENDING & THEIR STOCKS ARE FALLING -- SOURCE:  06-27-18  Adam Taggart, PeakProsperity.com via ZH - "Michael Pento: When The Yield Curve Inverts Soon, The Next Recession Will Start" -- Collectively, the world's major central banks have pumped $1.1 trillion into the markets over the past year. The result of all
  • AGGREGATED RISK LEVELS – JULY 2018
    June 27, 2018
    AGGREGATED RISK LEVELS - JULY
  • WE HAVE SEEN A DRAMATIC INCREASE IN CDSs SINCE THE LAST MATASII GLOBAL RISK ASSESSMENT
    June 27, 2018
    WE HAVE SEEN A DRAMATIC INCREASE IN CDSs SINCE THE LAST MATASII GLOBAL RISK
  • BIS: FEARS BOND ‘SNAPBACK’ CRUNCH AS RISING RATES MEET RECORD GLOBAL DEBT
    June 27, 2018
    BIS: FEARS BOND 'SNAPBACK' CRUNCH AS RISING RATES MEET RECORD GLOBAL DEBT The venerable Bank for International Settlements in Basel thinks central banks lost the plot a long time ago -- SOURCE: 06-24-18 Guardian, Ambrose Evans-Pritchard  - "BIS fears 'snapback' crunch as rising rates meet record global debt" -- World debt ratios have spiralled to
  • NOMURA: THE REAL REASON BEHIND THE “GLOBAL GROWTH SCARE”?
    June 26, 2018
    NOMURA: THE REAL REASON BEHIND THE "GLOBAL GROWTH SCARE"?   -- SOURCE: 06-25-18 Nomura (via ZH) - "Nomura: Here Is The Real Reason Behind The "Global Growth Scare" -- When discussing how the current market has changed in the past year, Morgan Stanley's cross-asset strategist Andrew Sheets said yesterday that one of the things that stood out
  • FED MAY HAVE REACHED ITS TIGHTENING GOAL
    June 21, 2018
    FED MAY HAVE REACHED ITS TIGHTENING GOAL REMEMBER -- SOURCE: 06-21-18 ZeroHedge - "Rosenberg: "The Fed Is Responsible For 1,000 S&P Points" -- Remember when David Rosenberg flipped from bear to bull, claiming that inflation - especially for wages - had finally arrived back in 2012 (spoiler: it hadn't)? That odd phase lasted a few