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SII: STRATEGIC INVESTMENT INSIGHTS

  • SII: RETAIL – SALE OF ABERCROMBIE & FITCH FALLS APART
    July 20, 2017
    SII: RETAIL - SALE OF ABERCROMBIE & FITCH FALLS APART POSSIBLE "TECHNICAL" BOTTOM WITH AUGUST 2017  EARNINGS RELEASE -- SOURCE: SII: RETAIL - SALE OF ABERCROMBIE & FITCH FALLS APART 07-18-17 Reuters - "Abercrombie & Fitch investor calls for buybacks after failed sale" -- (Reuters) - An investor in Abercrombie & Fitch Co (ANF.N) on
  • VC Visteon Corporation IDEA
    July 19, 2017
    Our weekly view shows VC in the middle of a long term channel; at the beginning of this year we can see the recent lift starting in earnest as it makes its final push off channel support.   The daily chart (right) shows the current market lifting within a smaller blue channel and bouncing between
  • AXL American Axle & Manufacturing IDEA
    July 19, 2017
    Our long term weekly perspective (left chart) shows AXL in a potential contracting wedge pattern.  Solid orange highlights the patterns support & resistance; breaking these offers potential opportunities for the next significant move from the market.  Along with the patterns support & resistance, blue s/r zones can be seen to have held the market, both
  • LEA Lear Corporation IDEA
    July 19, 2017
    The weekly view for LEA (left chart) shows a large lifting expanding wedge, with the market now at the top resistance of the pattern. The daily chart on the right gives us a closer look at the recent consolidation pattern since the market has reached the weekly pattern resistance. Solid orange lines highlight significant technicals
  • FCAU Fiat Chrysler Automobiles IDEA
    July 16, 2017
    Our MACRO BIAS for the auto industry in general is negative - we don't see it holding up in the long run.  When we take a look at FCAU's chart however, we can clearly see a positive trend still under way. The left hand weekly chart shows a long term expanding wedge, with the market
  • AUTO OEM’S & AUCTION HOUSES COLLUDING TO PROP UP USED CAR PRICES
    July 12, 2017
    AUTO OEM'S & AUCTION HOUSES COLLUDING TO PROP UP USED CAR PRICES  -- SOURCE: 07-07-17 ZeroHedge --  "Auto OEMs And Auction Houses Are Colluding To Prop Up Used Car Prices; It Won't Work" -- We've written frequently about the pending collapse in used car prices that will inevitably be brought on by a surge in
  • “FANG & NOSH” COMPONENT, O’REILLY AUTOMOTIVE PLUMMETS
    July 12, 2017
    "FANG & NOSH" COMPONENT, O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE PLUMMETS  --SOURCE: 07-05-17 ZeroHedge -- "O'Reilly Automotive Plummets On Disappointing Sales; Mild Winter, Low Hispanic Spending Blamed" -- O'Reilly Automotive stock crashed as much as 21% on 7 times its average daily volume, its biggest drop since June 2012 dragging the share price to the lowest since October 2014,
  • US ENERGY INFORMATION ADMIN. SHOWS TOTAL US ENERGY USAGE IN DECLINE
    July 11, 2017
    US ENERGY INFORMATION ADMIN. SHOWS TOTAL US ENERGY USAGE IN DECLINE The June release from the US Energy Information Administration shows that total US Energy usage has been in decline since the financial Crisis and in the last three years has been basically flat. This shouldn't occur this deep in an Economic Recovery. DOWNLOAD PDF:
  • GM General Motors IDEA
    July 8, 2017
    After reaching a high of almost $42.00 at the end of 2013, GM has shown some volatility, falling off and retesting the $38-39 level several times (on the high end) while finding support around $27.  Three blue s/r zones can be seen to make channels offering potnetial opportunities as the market bounces off or moves
  • HOG Harley-Davidson IDEA
    July 8, 2017
    The weekly view (left chart) shows HOG has fallen off from highs in 2014;  a bounce from 2016 has lifted / retraced that market drop more than 61.8%.  Recent resistance has been found and if the market continues to fall there is a possibility of significantly more drop to come.  The long-term weekly chart shows
  • JUNE AUTO INCENTIVES AVERAGE ~11% – FORCED TO MARCH HIGHER
    July 4, 2017
    JUNE AUTO INCENTIVES AVERAGE 11% - FORCED TO MARCH HIGHER --SOURCE: 07-03-17 Automotive News -- "Incentives continue march higher as U.S. sales stall" -- Incentives represented 11% of average transaction prices in June Automakers are steadily increasing incentive spending, as U.S. light-vehicle sales continue to slow heading into the second half of 2017. ALG reports automakers spent
  • AVERAGE AUTO LOAN ~31K REQUIRING FINANCING OVER ~70 MONTHS
    July 3, 2017
    AVERAGE AUTO LOAN ~31K REQUIRING FINANCING OVER ~70 MONTHS MATASII MESSAGE THE FACTS Auto Sales Revenue Down 2% Y-o-Y in June, Selling pace hit its lowest point since 2014 over the first six months of 2017, Dealership Traffic fell to a five-year nadir in June, Vehicles increasingly more expensive due to a barrage of safety
  • NERVOUSNESS ENTERING THE MARKETS ON CENTRAL BANK GUIDANCE
    June 26, 2017
    NERVOUSNESS ENTERING THE MARKETS ON CENTRAL BANK GUIDANCE Friday (06-23-17) saw a surge back into FANG stocks (retracing 75% of the Tech-Wreck drop). However, the slightly broader FANTASIA (FB, AMZN, NFLX, TSLA, GOOGL, CRM, INTL, AAPL) started to roll over after tagging the Fib 61.8% retracement of the tech wreck What is going on? It appears not
  • SII RETAIL-AUTO: BoAML DRAMATICALLY CUTS OUTLOOK – LITHIA CRATERS -8.7%, SONIC -7.9%, GROUP1-4.2% IN ONE DAY
    June 18, 2017
    SII RETAIL-AUTO: BoAML DRAMATICALLY CUTS OUTLOOK LITHIA CRATERS -8.7%, SONIC -7.9%, GROUP1-4.2% IN ONE DAY  -- SOURCE: 06-16-17- IBD - "This 'Tsunami' Is Set To Hit Auto Sales, Slamming Sector" -- A grim warning from Bank of America Merrill Lynch Friday of a "swift and material downturn" in U.S. auto sales slammed stocks of General Motors (GM), Ford (F), Fiat
  • POWERBALL, MEGA MILLIONS TO HALT ILLINOIS LOTTERY DUE TO STATE’S INABILITY TO PAY WINNERS
    June 16, 2017
    POWERBALL, MEGA MILLIONS TO HALT ILLINOIS LOTTERY DUE TO STATE'S INABILITY TO PAY WINNERS SOURCE: 06-15-17 MishTalk.com -  "Powerball, Mega Millions to Halt Illinois Lottery Due to State’s Inability to Pay Winners" Both Powerball and Mega Millions Lotteries Will Pull Out of Illinois on June 30 due to the budget impasse. Neither lottery would comment
  • PROOF THE STATE OF ILLINOIS BANKRUPT & THEY JUST HAVEN’T ANNOUNCED IT YET!
    June 16, 2017
    PROOF THE STATE OF ILLINOIS BANKRUPT & THEY JUST HAVEN'T ANNOUNCED IT YET! Listen to Mish & My Video (06-16-17 - Macro Analytics) as we cover this SOURCE: 06-14-17 MishTalk.com -  "Unable to Pay Bills, Illinois Sends “Dear Contractor” Letter Telling Firms to Halt Road Work on July 1" Unable to Pay Bills, Illinois Sends
  • SII: FANGS – BEING “DE-FANGED” FOR A “QUADRUPLE WITCH” CONSOLIDATION
    June 15, 2017
    SII: FANGS - BEING "DE-FANGED" FOR A "QUADRUPLE WITCH" CONSOLIDATION As we moved towards the June 16th Quadruple Options Witch we have carefully followed our SII: FANGS. Between the Friday June 9th "Mini Flash Crash" and the subsequent 61.8% retracement through Wednesday June 14th we could see the possibilities of a clear ABC consolidation pattern
  • SII FANGS: THERE IS LITTLE DOUBT IT IS SOLELY ABOUT GLOBAL LIQUIDITY FLOWS
    June 10, 2017
    SII FANGS: THERE IS LITTLE DOUBT IT IS SOLELY ABOUT GLOBAL LIQUIDITY FLOWS The "big 5" tech stocks, have an uncanny correlation with the size of the consolidated central bank balance
  • JAMES RICKARDS: CHINA’S GOLD STRATEGY UNMASKED
    May 28, 2017
    JAMES RICKARDS: CHINA'S GOLD STRATEGY UNMASKED  -- SOURCE:  05-27-17 Daily Reckoning - James Rickards - "The Golden Conspiracy" -- Is there gold price manipulation going on? Absolutely. There’s no question about it. That’s not just an opinion. There is statistical evidence piling up to make the case, in addition to anecdotal evidence and forensic evidence.
  • SII RETAIL CRE: A Bloodbath of -25 to -60% In Mall & Shopping Center REITs Since MATASII Began Coverage
    May 20, 2017
    SII RETAIL CRE: A bloodbath of -25 to -60% In Mall & Shopping Center REITs Since MATASII Began Coverage If you were investing in eREITs (as a whole) you have likely done just fine versus investing in the Retail-exposed eREITs. This is where the erosion of value has really taken front stage. Stock prices of

SII: STRATEGIC INVESTMENT INSIGHTS – 2017 SII OVERVIEW