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SII: STRATEGIC INVESTMENT INSIGHTS

  • THE CORPORATE YIELD CURVE HAS JUST INVERTED
    June 22, 2018
    THE CORPORATE YIELD CURVE HAS JUST INVERTED -- SOURCE: 06-19-18 - "The Corporate Yield Curve Has Just Inverted" -- A very interesting observation by the Nedbank analysts is that: The corporate sector curve (Baa-rated Corporates less the Prime rate) has now inverted. The implication of this is just as profound as a sovereign yield curve inversion as it
  • BUILDING TRADE RHETORIC MAY UNDERPIN NEXT SURGE IN BOND YIELDS
    June 22, 2018
    BUILDING TRADE RHETORIC MAY UNDERPIN NEXT SURGE IN BOND YIELDS It appears according to the latest Philly Fed that business-people of Philadelphia are now more worried about inflation in the next 6 months than at any time since 1988 (shooting up a whopping 23 points to 56.6)... But what the chart says is more concerning for
  • DEUTSCHE BANK RAISES WORRIES ABOUT EU BANKING – AGAIN!
    June 20, 2018
    DEUTSCHE BANK RAISES WORRIES ABOUT EU BANKING - AGAIN! -- SOURCE: 06-20-18 The Mises Institute, Thorstein Polleit - "Deutsche Bank's Troubles Raise Worries About The Future Of The Euro Zone"-- The euro banking sector is huge: In April 2018, its total balance sheet amounted to 30.9 trillion euro, accounting for 268 per cent of gross
  • GLOBAL FINANCIAL SYSTEM FACING MORE THAN A PERFECT STORM – IT MAY PROVE TO BE OF BIBLICAL PROPORTIONS!
    June 18, 2018
    GLOBAL FINANCIAL SYSTEM FACING MORE THAN A PERFECT STORM - IT MAY PROVE TO BE OF BIBLICAL PROPORTIONS! The following major shifts each have the potential to push government bond yields and mortgage rates higher. In combination, they create a toxic combination that could bring about the greatest surge in interest rates in decades. 1.
  • CREDIT CYCLE WARNING: EMERGING MARKET SOVEREIGN BONDS CHEAPER THAN US HIGH YIELD!
    June 16, 2018
    CREDIT CYCLE WARNING: EMERGING MARKET SOVEREIGN BONDS CHEAPER THAN US HIGH YIELD! -- SOURCE: 06-14-18 Forbes - "When Will The High-Yield Credit Bubble Burst?" -- U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell speaks during a news conference June 13, 2018 in Washington, DC. After a two-day meeting the Chairman Powell announced that the Fed will increase
  • 16 OF THE WORLD’S MOST SYSTEMICALLY IMPORTANT BANKS HAVE QUIETLY FALLEN INTO BEAR MARKET TERRITORY
    June 16, 2018
    16 OF THE WORLD'S MOST SYSTEMICALLY IMPORTANT BANKS HAVE QUIETLY FALLEN INTO BEAR MARKET TERRITORY -- SOURCE: 06-15-18 ZeroHedge -  "Some Of The 'Most Systemically Important Banks' In The World Are Tumbling" -- Since the Federal Reserve hiked rates, "big" US banks have dramatically underperformed "small" US banks, continuing a trend that has been going
  • FUND MANAGER ALLOCATIONS TO COMMODITIES HITS 8 YEAR HIGH – NET 7% OVERWEIGHT
    June 15, 2018
    FUND MANAGER ALLOCATIONS TO COMMODITIES HITS 8 YEAR HIGH - NET 7% OVERWEIGHT According to the June Bank of America Fund Manager Survey and we would expect, since it is very late in the business cycle allocation to commodities has hit a new 8-year high, rising 1ppt to net 7% overweight, the highest since April 2012 when
  • HIGH YIELD SPREAD EXPECTATIONS HEADING INTO A RECESSION
    June 15, 2018
    HIGH YIELD SPREAD EXPECTATIONS HEADING INTO A RECESSION "HY spreads do not have a recessionary look at all" ... but let's see what happens when the QE stops buying corporate bonds. "The energy sector suggest there is some chance of a recession in 12 months, but not sooner."
  • GOLD PRICE MANIPULATION – A COMPREHENSIVE GUIDE by JAMES RICKARDS
    June 13, 2018
    GOLD PRICE MANIPULATION - A COMPREHENSIVE GUIDE by JAMES RICKARDS -- SOURCE:  05-15-18  GoldCore - "Gold Price Manipulation - A Comprehensive Guide By James Rickards" CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc.   In his latest book, "The New Case for Gold," fund manager, geopolitical analyst, and financial letter writer James G. Rickards may have summarized
  • INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY 97% OF S&P 500 TOTAL YTD RETURNS AND DOMINATED BY FANG+
    June 13, 2018
    INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY 97% OF S&P 500 TOTAL YTD RETURNS AND DOMINATED BY FANG+ Information Technology accounts for 97% of the S&P 500's total return performance
  • FAANG BUBBLE STATISTICS
    June 13, 2018
    FAANG BUBBLE STATISTICS -- SOURCE:  06-08-18 EconMatters - "FAANG Bubble Statistics" -- Everyone has piled into the same trade for long enough that we have an acronym for this herd mentality in FANG, then expanded to FAANG, and other derivatives to include hot stocks like Microsoft and Nvidia. The lack of imagination on behalf of
  • MICROSOFT’S LACK OF REVENUE GROWTH HIGHLIGHTS THE SOURCE OF TECH BUBBLE
    June 13, 2018
    MICROSOFT'S LACK OF REVENUE GROWTH HIGHLIGHTS THE SOURCE OF TECH BUBBLE  -- SOURCE: 06-06-18 EconMatters - "Tech Bubble 2.0" -- Microsoft`s recent purchase of GitHub for for 7.5 Billion in stock tells us a couple of things about financial markets right now. Namely, the number being discussed for GitHub was around 3 Billion, and Microsoft
  • NETFLIX DOMINATING FAANGS & NOSH YTD
    June 13, 2018
    NETFLIX DOMINATING FAANGS & NOSH
  • THE FOUR STOCKS THAT ACCOUNT FOR OVER 2/3’s OF 2018 S&P TOTAL RETURNS
    June 13, 2018
    THE FOUR STOCKS THAT ACCOUNT FOR OVER 2/3's OF 2018 S&P TOTAL RETURNS -- EXTRACTED FROM: 05-16-18 ZeroHedge - "These 4 Stocks Account For Over Two-Thirds Of 2018's S&P Return" -- It's MANA that matters as just four stocks - Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, and Netflix - were responsible for over 68% of the S&P 500's total return
  • HY:IG RATIO AT LEVELS HEARKENING BACK TO RISK ERA OF OCTOBER 1997 & JUNE 2007
    June 7, 2018
    HY:IG RATIO AT LEVELS HEARKENING BACK TO RISK ERA OF OCTOBER 1997 & JUNE 2007 -- EXCERPTED from: 06-07-18 ZeroHedge - "Does Deutsche Bank's Junk Bond Firesale Mean The Party Is Over? "-- Less than a month ago, Moody's warned that  "the prolonged environment of low growth and low interest rates has been a catalyst for striking changes in
  • DEUTSCHE BANK SEEKING TO SELL NON-INVESTMENT GRADE ENERGY LOAN PORTFOLIO WORTH ~ $3B
    June 7, 2018
    DEUTSCHE BANK SEEKING TO SELL NON-INVESTMENT GRADE ENERGY LOAN PORTFOLIO WORTH ~ $3B -- EXCERPTED from: 06-07-18 ZeroHedge - "Does Deutsche Bank's Junk Bond Firesale Mean The Party Is Over? "-- Bloomberg reports Deutsche Bank is seeking to sell its portfolio of non-investment grade energy loans, worth about $3 billion, according to people with knowledge of the
  • TURMOIL IN EMERGING MARKETS DUE TO EVAPORATION OF US$ FUNDING
    June 7, 2018
    TURMOIL IN EMERGING MARKETS DUE TO EVAPORATION OF US$ FUNDING -- SOURCE: 06-05-18 ZeroHedge - "Central Banker Observes Sudden "Evaporation" Of Dollar Funding, Warns Of Global Turmoil" -- Last October, just as the Fed started shrinking its balance sheet, we published yet another article on what is arguably the biggest threat to not only risk
  • THE SHELL GAME OF TIGHTENING MONETARY POLICY WHILE MAINTAINING ACCOMMODATIVE MONETARY CONDITIONS
    June 6, 2018
    THE SHELL GAME OF TIGHTENING MONETARY POLICY WHILE MAINTAINING ACCOMMODATIVE MONETARY CONDITIONS -- SOURCE: 06-06-18 Michael Lebowitz - "Our Two Cents on the Dollar" -- “There are benefits of where the dollar is and there are costs of where the dollar is,” Mnuchin said during a panel discussion at the World Economic Forum in Davos,
  • DEUTSCHE BANK CONTINUED TO BELIEVE IN THE “FALSE” RECOVERY & LOST 90% OF ITS VALUE IN 13 YEARS
    June 1, 2018
    DEUTSCHE BANK CONTINUED TO BELIEVE IN THE "FALSE" RECOVERY & LOST 90% OF ITS VALUE IN 13 YEARS -- SOURCE: 05-31-18 Alhambra - Jeff Snider - "Is Anyone Really Surprised DB’s Problems Had Nothing To Do With The DoJ Fine?" -- DB has lost almost 90% of its value over the last eleven years, The
  • MATASII HAS BEEN SHORT DB SINCE 2016 – AND STILL IS!
    June 1, 2018
    MATASII HAS BEEN SHORT DB SINCE 2016 - AND STILL IS! -- SOURCE: 06-01-18 ZeroHedge - "S&P Downgrades Deutsche Bank To BBB+"-- S&P Downgrades Deutsche Bank To BBB+ Adding insult to ruinous injury, just hours after Deutsche Bank stock crashed to all time lows after it was revealed that it had been put on the
SII: STRATEGIC INVESTMENT INSIGHTS - 2018 SII OVERVIEW

SII: STRATEGIC INVESTMENT INSIGHTS – 2017 SII OVERVIEW