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TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

  • VIX BACK TO 13 & BREAKS BELOW KEY 200 DMA TECHNICAL SUPPORT
    May 10, 2018
    VIX BACK TO 13 & BREAKS BELOW KEY 200 DMA TECHNICAL SUPPORT -- SOURCE: 05-10-18 ZeroHedge - "VIX Breaks Below Key Technical Support" -- Despite the world's elites decrying President Trump's decision to withdraw from the Iran nuclear deal - fearful of the kind of Middle East instability already
  • SOCGEN: LOW ‘vol’ IS GONE & THIS CHANGES EVERYTHING!
    April 15, 2018
    SOCGEN: LOW 'vol' IS GONE & THIS CHANGES EVERYTHING! -- SOURCE: 04-13-18 ZeroHedge - "SocGen: "Low Vol Is Gone And This Changes Everything" -- Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley: while Wall Street banks and their research teams tend to disagree on most aspects of market analysis
  • CRACKS IN CREDIT MORE PRONOUNCED SINCE FEBRUARY VIX IMPLOSION
    April 14, 2018
    CRACKS IN CREDIT MORE PRONOUNCED SINCE FEBRUARY VIX IMPLOSION -- ABSTRACTED FROM: 03-23-18  ZeroHedge - "Retail Whiplashed By 2nd Largest ETF Outflow On Record; Longest HY Outflows Since 2007" -- According to the fund flow data, it's time to worry about credit and especially high yield, because as
  • PATTERNS: ALL MAJOR INDICES TESTING POST-2016 TRENDLINE SUPPORT
    April 13, 2018
    PATTERNS: ALL MAJOR INDICES TESTING POST-2016 TRENDLINE
  • A MARKET REGIME CHANGE IS OCCURRING – VIX TERM STRUCTURES IN “BACKWARDATION”
    March 29, 2018
    A MARKET REGIME CHANGE IS OCCURRING - VIX TERM STRUCTURES IN "BACKWARDATION" Volatility is back and most notably the VIX term structure has been inverted for a significant period of time - which itself is unusual... As Bloomberg notes, backwardation is a tell-tale sign that stress is still built
  • IN DEPTH: TRANSCRIPTION – REPRICING OF RISK BEGINS
    March 21, 2018
    IN DEPTH: TRANSCRIPTION – REPRICING OF RISK BEGINS COVER   AGENDA SLIDE 5 We started warning of the huge problems we saw with volatility as measured by the VIX as part of our October LONGWave video entitled "Powering the 'ETF Dynamo'". To us, the once "cottage industry" of shorting the VIX
  • UNDERSTANDING THE NEW $2 TRILLION ASSET CLASS CALLED “vol” (VOLATILITY)
    March 2, 2018
    UNDERSTANDING THE NEW $2 TRILLION ASSET CLASS CALLED "vol" (VOLATILITY) MONETARY MALPRACTICE I put this schematic together not long after the 2008 Financial Crisis as we were witnessing the emerging approach the Federal Reserve was taking to its resolution. The last update of the diagram was in
  • “IMPLIED EQUITY CORRELATION” SPIKE SIGNALS SYSTEMIC WORRIES OF HIGH CORRELATION EVENT
    February 10, 2018
    "IMPLIED EQUITY CORRELATION" SPIKE SIGNALS SYSTEMIC WORRIES OF HIGH CORRELATION EVENT --SOURCE: 02-10-18 ZeroHedge - "Traders Now Record Short Bonds After Biggest VIX Futures Liquidation Ever" -- After a chaotic week of volatility-related volatility, some of the unbelievable fallout from the "end
  • A $2 TRILLION ASSET CLASS: MAPPING KEY ELEMENTS TO THE VOLATILITY UNDERWORLD
    February 8, 2018
    A $2 TRILLION ASSET CLASS: MAPPING KEY ELEMENTS TO THE VOLATILITY UNDERWORLD -- SOURCE: 02-07-18 Bloomberg - "Map to the Underworld: $2 Trillion of Volatility Trades Here" -- Products tied to market swings put in spotlight amid selloff Inverse VIX ETPs grew in popularity with short-vol trade For a
  • SHORT VOLATILITY (VIX) PRODUCTS PLUNGE $3.2 BILLION
    February 8, 2018
    SHORT VOLATILITY (VIX) PRODUCTS PLUNGE $3.2 BILLION Before whirlwind, banks turned volatility into the hot item VIX was seen as sure thing -- until it suddenly wasn’t anymore  -- SOURCE: 02-06-18 Bloomberg - "Volatility Inc.: Inside Wall Street’s $8 Billion Mess" -- It was the hot trade on