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PAGE 2: LAST 16-30 POSTS.   

  • June 18, 2018

    JUNE ELLIOTT WAVE: S&P 500 HAS BROKEN “CONTINUATION TRIANGLE” TO THE UPSIDE

    06-15-18-MATA-PIVOTS-S&P-Elliott Wave Count-1
    JUNE ELLIOTT WAVE: S&P 500 HAS BROKEN "CONTINUATION TRIANGLE" TO THE UPSIDE  
  • June 18, 2018

    JUNE 2018 PRIMARY TREND UPDATE: TREND IS STILL UPWARD

    06-15-18-MATA-PIVOTS-Primary Trend-1
    JUNE 2018 PRIMARY TREND UPDATE: TREND IS STILL UPWARD
  • June 18, 2018

    S&P 500: JUNE 2018 UPDATE: CHANNELS – SUPPORT & RESISTANCE

    06-15-18-MATA-PIVOTS-Channels-Resistance & Support-1
    S&P 500: JUNE 2018 UPDATE: CHANNELS – SUPPORT & RESISTANCE
  • June 18, 2018

    JUNE 2018 UPDATE: POST 2008 BOUNDARY CONDITIONS

    06-15-18-MATA-PIVOTS-MAY--BOUNDARIES-1
    JUNE 2018 UPDATE: POST 2008 BOUNDARY CONDITIONS
  • June 16, 2018

    CREDIT CYCLE WARNING: EMERGING MARKET SOVEREIGN BONDS CHEAPER THAN US HIGH YIELD!

    06-16-18-SII-B&C--Credit Cycle Warning-EM Sovereigns Cheaper than US High Yield-1
    CREDIT CYCLE WARNING: EMERGING MARKET SOVEREIGN BONDS CHEAPER THAN US HIGH YIELD! -- SOURCE: 06-14-18 Forbes - "When Will The High-Yield Credit Bubble Burst?" -- U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell speaks during a news conference June 13, 2018 in Washington, DC. After a two-day meeting the Chairman Powell announced that the Fed will increase […]
  • June 16, 2018

    16 OF THE WORLD’S MOST SYSTEMICALLY IMPORTANT BANKS HAVE QUIETLY FALLEN INTO BEAR MARKET TERRITORY

    06-16-18-SII-LENDERS-- World's Most Systemically Important Banks In Bear Markets-1
    16 OF THE WORLD'S MOST SYSTEMICALLY IMPORTANT BANKS HAVE QUIETLY FALLEN INTO BEAR MARKET TERRITORY -- SOURCE: 06-15-18 ZeroHedge -  "Some Of The 'Most Systemically Important Banks' In The World Are Tumbling" -- Since the Federal Reserve hiked rates, "big" US banks have dramatically underperformed "small" US banks, continuing a trend that has been going […]
  • June 15, 2018

    42% OF FUND MANAGERS SAY CORPORATIONS ARE NOW OVER-LEVERED

    06-15-18-TP-CORPORATE BANKRUPTCIES-42% of Fund Managers Say Corporations-Over-Leveraged-1
    42% OF FUND MANAGERS SAY CORPORATIONS ARE NOW OVER-LEVERED Of the 235 June Bank of America Merrill Lynch Fund Managers survey respondents with $684BN in AUM, a record 42% of investors said companies are over levered, far exceeding the 32% peak in 2008; overall an all-time high of net 34% think corporate balance sheets are […]
  • June 15, 2018

    EXPECTATIONS BY FUND MANAGERS OF FASTER GLOBAL GROWTH CONTINUE TO FADE

    06-15-18-MACRO-MACRO-INDICATORS-Fund Managers Expectations of Global Growth Fading-1
    EXPECTATIONS BY FUND MANAGERS OF FASTER GLOBAL GROWTH CONTINUE TO FADE According to the June Bank of America Fund Manager Survey expectations for faster global growth continued to fade, with just net 1% of investors indicating they think the global economy will strengthen over the next 12 months, barely above the boom/bust threshold and still at […]
  • June 15, 2018

    FUND MANAGER ALLOCATIONS TO COMMODITIES HITS 8 YEAR HIGH – NET 7% OVERWEIGHT

    06-15-18-SII-COMMODITIES-Allocations Hit 8 Year High-1
    FUND MANAGER ALLOCATIONS TO COMMODITIES HITS 8 YEAR HIGH - NET 7% OVERWEIGHT According to the June Bank of America Fund Manager Survey and we would expect, since it is very late in the business cycle allocation to commodities has hit a new 8-year high, rising 1ppt to net 7% overweight, the highest since April 2012 when […]
  • June 15, 2018

    HIGH YIELD SPREAD EXPECTATIONS HEADING INTO A RECESSION

    06-15-18-SII-B&C-HY Spread Expectations Going Into a Recession-1
    HIGH YIELD SPREAD EXPECTATIONS HEADING INTO A RECESSION "HY spreads do not have a recessionary look at all" ... but let's see what happens when the QE stops buying corporate bonds. "The energy sector suggest there is some chance of a recession in 12 months, but not sooner."  
  • June 15, 2018

    GLOBAL GROWTH IS SLOWING – MORE SO IN THE EU THAN ANYWHERE

    06-15-18-MACRO-MACRO-INDICATORS-Global Slowdown-1
    GLOBAL GROWTH IS SLOWING - MORE SO IN THE EU THAN ANYWHERE
  • June 14, 2018

    FALLING GLOBAL & EU LEI’s MAY DRAG US INTO NEXT RECESSION

    06-14-18-MACRO-US-SPECIAL FOCUS-Falling Global & EU LEI May Drag US Into Next Recession-1
    FALLING GLOBAL & EU LEI's MAY DRAG US INTO NEXT RECESSION -- SOURCE: 06-08-18 RecessionAlert.com, Dwaine Van Vuuren - "World headed for cyclical slowdown" -- Download article as PDF Whilst the RecessionALERT U.S Leading index is currently looking robust, we cannot ignore the fact that there is a not-insignificant 40% correlation between the movements of the U.S […]
  • June 14, 2018

    THE EU LEI HAS TAKEN A DECIDEDLY WORRISOME DOWNTURN!

    06-14-18-MACRO-REGIONAL-INDICATORS-EU LEI Has Taken a Decidedly Worrisone Downturn -1
    THE EU LEI HAS TAKEN A DECIDEDLY WORRISOME DOWNTURN! -- SOURCE: 06-08-18 RecessionAlert.com, Dwaine Van Vuuren - "World headed for cyclical slowdown" -- Download article as PDF The European countries, representing some 25% of world economic output have taken a decidedly worrisome turn: Many of these LEI’s include sentiment data, and its probably a fair […]
  • June 14, 2018

    WORLD LEI INDICATES A GLOBAL CYCLICAL SLOWDOWN

    06-14-18-MACRO-MACRO-INDICATORS-World LEI Indicates a Global Cyclical Slowdown Ahead-1
    WORLD LEI INDICATES A GLOBAL CYCLICAL SLOWDOWN -- SOURCE: 06-08-18 RecessionAlert.com, Dwaine Van Vuuren - "World headed for cyclical slowdown" -- Download article as PDF Despite the U.S leading economic indicators appearing healthy, the global economy appears to be headed for a slow down, with only 34% of the 40 countries we track having leading […]
  • June 14, 2018

    SLOWING GLOBAL TRADE TO LIKELY TRIGGER A GLOBAL EARNINGS RECESSION

    06-14-18-MACRO-MACRO-INDICATORS-Global Trade to Likely Trigger Earnings Recession-1
    SLOWING GLOBAL TRADE TO LIKELY TRIGGER A GLOBAL EARNINGS RECESSION -- MODIFIED FROM: 06-12-18 Palisade-Research.com, Adem Tumerkan - "Global Earnings Recession All But Certain As World Trade Weakens" -- Markets have rallied into summer. The mess in Italy – which hasn’t resolved itself at all – is yesterday’s news. Within the last two weeks, the VIX is […]