Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS SHRINKING REVENUE GROWTH RATE THE FALLING DOMINOES AHEAD The Reverse Wealth Effect though underway will likely not fully show itself until Stage 5 of an expected toppling of cascading economic dominoes still ahead of us:   STAGE 1: CHRONIC UNEMPLOYMENT On-Going Forced Cuts of Fixed & […]

Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis  SII: RETAIL MALL OPERATORS   RETAIL MALLS SUFFERING WORSENING SECULAR PROBLEMS THE MARKET REALITIES OF A DISAPPEARING MIDDLE CLASS   Nowhere is the problem from a gutted and missing American middle class more obvious than the lineups at charity food pantries and government sponsored high school […]

VIDEO: 42 Minutes with 35 Supporting Slides  

Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS GEO-POLITICAL EVENT GEO-POLITICAL TENSIONS ROOTED IN SHIFTING SENTIMENT As we outlined in the June 2020 UnderTheLens video, Peter Turchin's cycle of social integration and disintegration outlined in his 2016 book Ages of Discord concludes:   Human history manifests cycles of social disintegration and integration in […]

Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis  TIPPING POINTS PUBLIC SENTIMENT & CONFIDENCE   WHY A MIND-BLOWING SPIKE IN THE PERSONAL SAVINGS RATE? Over the past few weeks there has been an extraordinary shift in the market's mindset.    We have moved from expectations of a stock market wipe-out and bond Armageddon into […]

Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis  GLOBAL RECESSION GLOBAL RECESSION NOW IN THE CARDS! A TWO YEAR $5-$5.5 TRILLION GLOBAL GDP HIT WON'T QUICKLY BE MADE UP ASSURING GLOBAL RECESSION! The coronavirus pandemic has been widely expected to rob the global economy of more than $5 trillion of growth over the next […]

Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis  FEATURE ARTICLES MACRO - MONETARY & FISCAL POLICY   TWO FLAWED HOPES: LIQUIDITY & STIMULUS For decades the "go to" strategy anytime financial turmoil, crisis or shocks impact the economy the solution has been two fold: i) Central Banks to immediately inject large amounts of Liquidity […]

Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis  FEATURE ARTICLES MACRO   IS TRUMP MAKING THE SAME MISTAKE AS HOOVER? Comparisons to the 2008 crisis or even the 1929 stock market crash that started the Great Depression fail to capture the magnitude of the economic damage of the CoronaVirus. You may have to go back […]

Strategic Investment Insights Global Macro Research | Market Road Maps SII: US RETAIL SPG Simon Property Group Previous IDEA The top panel shows SPG weekly and daily charts as published on March 6th, 2017. While all technicals can be used, orange highlights the more immediate potential technical trigger considerations; HPTZ 1 has been highlighted across […]

Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis SII RETAIL REITS TRAPPED IN A LOSING "CATCH-22"! REITs (Real Estate Investment Trusts) are showing some of the underlying risks that investors may not yet be considering in an era of Covid-19. The failure of businesses en masse is likely to begin happening in Q3. Certainly […]

Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis SII BONDS & CREDIT IT'S THE MORTUARY FOR MANY MUNI'S & REMAINING MONOLINES The Muni Bond Market and still solvent Monoline insurers were already facing serious funding and credit rating problems prior to Covid-19, which has made the situation even more tenuous, despite the Fed's Municipal […]

Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis SII LENDERS EERIE SIMILARITIES IN AUTO LENDERS TO 2008 MORTGAGE DEBACLE Maybe an even bigger concern than the damage currently occurring within the Auto Sector (which we raised in our previous newsletter) may actually be the Lenders to the Auto industry and the massive levels of […]

Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis SII AUTO SECTOR HERTZ SKIDDING ON THE EDGE OF BANKRUPTCY WITH AIRPORTS DESERTED I was interviewed this week by Kerry Lutz of the Financial Survival Network. The interview was requested by FSN because many of the MATASII warnings made during prior interviews have been confirmed by […]

MAIN STREET SHOCK! VIDEO: 31 Minutes with 24 Supporting Slides

NEXT STOP: CRISIS OF TRUST & STAGFLATION 19 Minute Interview with FSN's Kerry Lutz.  Over 20 supporting interview slides