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  • February 10, 2018

    “IMPLIED EQUITY CORRELATION” SPIKE SIGNALS SYSTEMIC WORRIES OF HIGH CORRELATION EVENT

    02-10-18-MATA-RISK-Implied Equity Correlation-1
    "IMPLIED EQUITY CORRELATION" SPIKE SIGNALS SYSTEMIC WORRIES OF HIGH CORRELATION EVENT --SOURCE: 02-10-18 ZeroHedge - "Traders Now Record Short Bonds After Biggest VIX Futures Liquidation Ever" -- After a chaotic week of volatility-related volatility, some of the unbelievable fallout from the "end of the short-vol trade" is being exposed. The week was full of superlatives...(and […]
  • February 10, 2018

    “CRITICAL STRESS SIGNAL” TRIGGERED WHERE FED NORMALLY STEPS IN – BUT WILL THEY????

    02-10-18-MATA-RISK-BoAML's Critical Stree Signal Triggered-1
    "CRITICAL STRESS SIGNAL" TRIGGERED WHERE FED NORMALLY STEPS IN - BUT WILL THEY???? -- SOURCE: 02-10-18 ZeroHedge - "BofA's 'Critical Stress Signal' Was Just Triggered: "This Is Where Central Banks Step In" -- The last two hours of trading on Friday aside, when a violent short squeeze coupled with unsubstantiated speculation by JPMorgan that the […]
  • February 10, 2018

    LARGEST GLOBAL HEDGE FUND TAKES GIGANTIC SELECTIVE EU BANK & ENERGY SHORT POSITIONS

    02-10-18-SII-EU LENDERS & ENERGY- Dalio Short Positions-1
    LARGEST GLOBAL HEDGE FUND TAKES GIGANTIC SELECTIVE EU BANK & ENERGY SHORT POSITIONS Ray Dalio - Bridgewater Last October, Italy's government was angry when the world's largest hedge fund, Ray Dalio's Bridgewater unveiled it had amassed a sizable  $713 million short against Italian financial stocks, its biggest disclosed bearish bet in Europe. Then last week, […]
  • February 9, 2018

    GLOBAL STOCKS FOLLOW GLOBAL MANUFACTURING – CYCLICAL PEAKING PMI FORECAST TO WEAKEN

    02-09-18-MACRO-MACRO-INDICATORS-GROWTH-Cycle is Ending-1
    GLOBAL STOCKS FOLLOW GLOBAL MANUFACTURING - CYCLICAL PEAKING PMI FORECAST TO WEAKEN The Global PMI appears to be peaking within its current later stages of its expansionary cycle. The PMI is additionally now showing indications of weakening which has prompted analysts to begin taking down their forecasts. This is to be expected in the final […]
  • February 8, 2018

    A $2 TRILLION ASSET CLASS: MAPPING KEY ELEMENTS TO THE VOLATILITY UNDERWORLD

    02-08-18-TIPPING POINTS-RISK REVERSAL-Mapping Volatility Elements-1
    A $2 TRILLION ASSET CLASS: MAPPING KEY ELEMENTS TO THE VOLATILITY UNDERWORLD -- SOURCE: 02-07-18 Bloomberg - "Map to the Underworld: $2 Trillion of Volatility Trades Here" -- Products tied to market swings put in spotlight amid selloff Inverse VIX ETPs grew in popularity with short-vol trade For a fledgling asset class whose idiosyncrasies are […]
  • February 8, 2018

    VALUATION: SECOND HIGHEST AT 116% AND A STANDARD DEVIATION HIGHER THAN 1929

    02-08-18-MATA-FUNDAMENTALS-Valuation Model-1b
    VALUATION: SECOND HIGHEST AT 116% AND A STANDARD DEVIATION HIGHER THAN 1929 Below is a plot of the Arithmetic column (the lower of the two - to be conservative) that suggest the second highest over-valuation since records began!
  • February 8, 2018

    EXPECT THUNDERING BULL INVESTOR SENTIMENT TO SOON CHANGE!

    02-08-18-MATA-PATTERNS - Expecting Sentiment to Change - Market Overvalued-1
    EXPECT THUNDERING BULL INVESTOR SENTIMENT TO SOON CHANGE! "Thundering Bull Herds" often change direction abruptly when something scary and out of the ordinary occurs. If the "ordinary" and "expected  pattern" of buying the dips fails to materialize this could get nasty in a hurry!   An historically overbought market does poorly when extreme sentiment weakens […]
  • February 8, 2018

    INVESTOR INTELLIGENCE: HISTORICALLY HIGH LEVELS BEGS THE QUESTION – WHO WAS LEFT TO BUY?

    02-08-18-MATA-SENTIMENT-Investors Intelligence - Bulls versus Bears-1
    INVESTOR INTELLIGENCE: HISTORICALLY HIGH LEVELS BEGS THE QUESTION WHO WAS LEFT TO BUY?   Who is left to buy? Who has any cash left to invest with (Spoiler alert: Central Bank will pump more out)
  • February 8, 2018

    SHORT VOLATILITY (VIX) PRODUCTS PLUNGE $3.2 BILLION

    02-08-18-MATA-PATTERNS-Black Monday II - Short VIX Collapse-1
    SHORT VOLATILITY (VIX) PRODUCTS PLUNGE $3.2 BILLION Before whirlwind, banks turned volatility into the hot item VIX was seen as sure thing -- until it suddenly wasn’t anymore  -- SOURCE: 02-06-18 Bloomberg - "Volatility Inc.: Inside Wall Street’s $8 Billion Mess" -- It was the hot trade on Wall Street, a seemingly sure thing that […]
  • February 6, 2018

    RISK-PARITY & CTA MANAGED FUTURES FUNDS SELLING $200B

    02-06-18-MATA-PATTERNS-Black Monday-Risk-Parity--CTA Selling $200B-1
      RISK-PARITY & CTA MANAGED FUTURES FUNDS SELLING $200B --SOURCE: 02-06-18 ZeroHedge - "That Was Just The Start: Risk Parity, CTAs Are In Process Of Selling $200 Billion" -- Now that inverse VIX ETFs have effectively blown up, suffering "termination events" like XIV earlier today, one of the forming bullish market narratives is that there […]
  • February 6, 2018

    WHAT TO EXPECT – YOUR ROADMAP TO WHAT LIES AHEAD

    02-06-18-MATA-PATTERNS-BlAck Monday-What's to Expect - Your Roadmap-1
    WHAT TO EXPECT - YOUR ROADMAP OF WHAT LIES AHEAD
  • February 6, 2018

    SHORTING VOLATILITY FINALLY GOES “LIGHTS OUT”!

    02-06-18-MATA-PATTERNS-Blck Monday-What's Happening-3
    SHORTING  VOLATILITY FINALLY GOES "LIGHTS OUT"! Review the December 13th LONGWave video for our warning and hat to expect now - The Passive ETF Dynamo The VIX finally went bananas rising 20 points to the highest level since Aug 2015 By Charlie McElligott, managing director of cross-asset strategy at Nomura - ""The Vol Market Finally Broke": […]
  • February 6, 2018

    WHAT’S HAPPENING? – ITS ABOUT VIX ETF COVERING, RISK PARITY, ETNs & FORCED VaR REBALANCING

    02-06-18-MATA-PATTERNS-Blck Monday-What's Happening-1
    WHAT'S HAPPENING? - ITS ABOUT VIX ETF COVERING, RISK PARITY, ETNs & FORCED VaR REBALANCING To understand what is going on in the Equity Market you need to review the December 13th LONGWave video for our warning and what to expect now - The Passive ETF Dynamo and have a basic understanding of the following concepts: Exchange […]
  • February 6, 2018

    THE RISK-PARITY FUND “SCHEME” BLOWS UP – DJIA INTRA-DAY DOWN ~1597 PTS

    02-06-18-MATA-PATTERNS-Black Monday II-Dow Down 1597 Intraday-1b
    THE RISK-PARITY FUND "SCHEME" BLOWS UP - DJIA INTRA-DAY DOWN ~1597 PTS  -- SOURCE: 02-05-18 Phoenix Capital - Graham Summers - "The Risk Parity/ Short Vol Trade Just Blew Up" -- The risk-parity fund market rig is officially over. Throughout 2017, I noted that “someone” was slamming the VIX lower to force risk-parity funds to […]
  • February 4, 2018

    THE FED CHANGES THE RULES WHEN IT IS TRAPPED -> THE NEW “IOER” & “ENRICH-THY-NEIGHBOR” DECEPTION

    02-04-18-THESIS 2016 - TP-CREDIT CONTRACTION - US Monetary Policy-1
    THE FED CHANGES THE RULES WHEN IT IS TRAPPED -> THE NEW "IOER" & "ENRICH-THY-NEIGHBOR" DECEPTION --EXCERPTED FROM: 02-03-18 Chris Martenson via PeakProsperity.com - "It's Looking A Lot Like 2008 Now..." -- The warning signs in 2007 were abundant and, for most, completely obvious in hindsight.  I was writing about them extensively at the time and, […]