IN-DEPTH: TRANSCRIPTION – LONGWave – APRIL – Covid-19 Triggered Inflation SLIDE DECK Download Slide Deck TRANSCRIPTION COVER Thank you for joining me. I’m Gord Long. A REMINDER BEFORE WE BEGIN: DO NO NOT TRADE FROM ANY OF THESE SLIDES – they are COMMENTARY for educational and discussions purposes ONLY. Always consult a professional financial advisor […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS RISING INFLATION A COMING GLOBAL SHIFT ACROSS INFLATION SENSITIVE ASSETS We have been arguing that though Inflation pressures are clearly with us, many of the underlying drivers are associated with bottlenecks in the ‘just-in-time’ (no inventory) global supply chains restarting from Covid-19 lock-downs. […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS RISING INFLATION WHAT INFLATION MEANS TO THE MARKETS We are presently caught in what has become a manic concern that inflation is approaching like a looming tidal wave. There is little doubt that Inflation continues to grow and broaden in scope. However, the […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis STRATEGIC INVESTMENT INITIATIVES COMMODITIES – HARD ASSETS WHAT DO REAL YIELDS TELL US ABOUT YELLOW & BLACK GOLD? Today, official Inflation Breakeven is the forecast that is derived from the difference between the yields on inflation-linked and fixed bonds of a given maturity or as […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS BOND BUBBLE BOND MARKET NEEDS TO CONSOLIDATE BOND MARKET NEEDS TO CONSOLIDATE The historic lift in bond yields has rapidly changed the investment landscape. Bond holders have experienced ~3.7% losses so far in 2021. It has been one of the worst year-beginning starts […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis STRATEGIC INVESTMENT INITIATIVES BONDS & CREDIT IS THIS A RATE SCARE RATHER THAN A ‘TRANSITORY’ INFLATION SCARE? What exactly are we afraid of? It was always a safe bet that there would be an inflation scare at some point early this year. Just the base […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis STRATEGIC INVESTMENT INITIATIVES BONDS & CREDIT YCC IS NOW A FORGONE EVENTUALITY! You can only play so many games before you are often trapped in a situation of your own creation. This is the situation the Fed finds itself in. Nothing makes this clearer than […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis SII BONDS & CREDIT US TREASURY BENCHMARK SIGNALING PONTENTIAL YIELD BREAKOUT We are witnessing some notable movements in two key benchmarks we are following. The 10Y US Treasury Yield is showing initial signs of a potential broken-out to the upside from a tight consolidation pattern. […]
US 10Y TREASURY PUTTING IN A CLASSIC “BOTTOM” & “REVERSAL” PATTERN After breaking through the TNX’s long term overhead resistance we fully expected the long term overhead resistance to be tested since technically what was ‘resistance’ often becomes support after a breakout. Additionally, since the TNX was coming from its upper 12 & 24 MMA […]
CREDIT MARKETS CRACKING IN A SYSTEMIC LIKE FASHION Here are Monday’s charts pulled from a report which give further detail of the yield drop shown above in the current “TNX” MATASII chart. VIX vs HY vs IG Credit markets are starting to crack more systemically… Flashing very bright warning lights to stocks… BONDS Bond […]
