SINCE 2014 OVER 35% OF S&P 500 VALUE CAME FROM 5 TECH COMPANIES The US stock market, or at least the S&P 500, is inextricably tied to the present and future of disruptive technology. Disruption at global scale can add as much market value as a much larger but old-school business even if the latter […]
SII RESULTS: WEEK ENDING 05-03-19 – INITIAL IDEA – TRIGGER MOVEMENTS SUBSCRIBER CONTENT ONLY SUBSCRIPTION OPTION DETAIL
INVESTORS DON’T TRUST THIS RALLY BUT ARE INCREASINGLY AFRAID TO BE MISSING OUT The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey shows that Neutral sentiment saw a sharp decline falling to 39.63% from 46.31%. That is the largest decline since the final week of 2018 when the market bottomed and a very large portion of investors reported outright […]
A PERILOUS ENVIRONMENT FOR CORPORATE EARNINGS The salient point from the Q1 Earnings season is that the results have not been bad enough to stop the U.S. stock market from getting back to an all-time high. Companies that disappointed were strongly punished (with Google parent company Alphabet the latest and most spectacular example), while those […]
Q1 “FAANG” REPORT CARD So far its been another big year for MATASII’s SII FAANG & NOSH stocks. After a difficult end to 2018, when the group was hammered alongside the broader market worries, the large-cap tech stocks have come roaring back in a rally that’s largely continued through the release of their first-quarter earnings. So far […]
A LITTLE UNDERSTOOD ELEMENT OF FUNDAMENTAL LATE CYCLE INVESTING We do a lot of Cycle work at MATASII.com as it is a critical element in developing our Strategic Investment Insights (SII) & Watch Lists. What few fully appreciate and is critical to cycle timing is: Contrary to popular belief, a deceleration of GDP growth is […]
WHY ARE GLOBAL FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT FLOWS COLLAPSING? Yesterday we posted in “Widening Cracks in Flows & Liquidity Appearing” our concerns with Flows & Liquidity. However, we didn’t additionally discuss collapsing Global Foreign Direct Investment which supports our analysis. In our view there are three reasons that Global FDI Flows are falling. One is a […]
WIDENING CRACKS IN FLOWS & LIQUIDITY APPEARING I am becoming increasingly concerned about Flows & Liquidity. The Fed’s sustained QT measures are still occurring and the cumulative effect is now reverberating through the financial markets. Money Supply as the primary driver of the market has recently begun to diverge from the equity markets. It appears […]
WEEK ENDING 05-03-19: BIGGEST SII PRICE DROPS SUBSCRIBER CONTENT ONLY SUBSCRIPTION OPTION DETAIL
TWO SMARTEST MARKETS: COPPER & BONDS ARE WARNING The Phoenix points out the message that Copper is sending: One investor has a history of timing major market turns like no other. He called the 2011 growth peak before anyone else. He nailed the 2016 bottom in risk assets. And he even timed the December bottom […]
