FIBONACCI 61.8% COUNTER RALLY NOW OVERBOUGHT – LIKELY “B” WAVE DOWN BEFORE YE “C” UP On a monthly basis, the backdrop has also worsened. RSI has dropped into correction territory along with a confirmed monthly sell signal. Extensions of the market that move 3-standard deviations above the long-term mean are unsustainable. The chart below is […]
TRIGGER$ November 2018
THE TREASURY MARKET HAS A CHICKEN-AND-EGG PROBLEM
THE HEADLINE: THE TREASURY MARKET HAS A CHICKEN-AND-EGG PROBLEM MATASII SII ANALYSIS: TNX CBOE 10yr Treasury Note Yield IDEA – April 30th, 2018: Our previous update (Jan 21/2017) gave a couple of high probability possibilities to watch out for. Our first paragraph said: “An initial break of 2.3 offers potential opportunity for a drop to fill […]
NOVEMBER 2018 UPDATE: POST 2008 BOUNDARY CONDITIONS
NOVEMBER 2018 UPDATE: POST 2008 BOUNDARY CONDITIONS
S&P 500: NOVEMBER 2018 UPDATE: CHANNELS – SUPPORT & RESISTANCE
S&P 500: NOVEMBER 2018 UPDATE: CHANNELS – SUPPORT & RESISTANCE
NOVEMBER 2018 PRIMARY TREND UPDATE: NO TECHNICAL DAMAGE YET TO PRIMARY UP TREND
NOVEMBER 2018 PRIMARY TREND UPDATE: NO TECHNICAL DAMAGE YET TO PRIMARY UP TREND
ENERGY ETFs SLIDE AS CRUDE FALLS FURTHER INTO A BEAR MARKET
THE HEADLINE: Energy ETFs Slide as Crude Falls Further Into a Bear Market MATASII SII ANALYSIS: COP Technical Set-Up May 15th 2016: COP has fallen off and bounced at long term trend supports, just shy of previous lows. It appears to be breaking out of the blue negative trend channel it has been in since […]
RICKARDS: BE PREPARED FOR A CHEAPER DOLLAR
THE HEADLINE: JAMES RICKARDS: Be Prepared for a Cheaper Dollar MATASII SII ANALYSIS: MATASII: USD IDEA – March 6th, 2018 The USD has now dropped to several long term support / resistances. The weekly (left) chart shows a potential count (black) for the drop since the start of 2017; and we are still looking […]
EARNINGS ESTIMATES FOR 2019 S&P 500 HAVE DECLINED $9 & $4 IN THE LAST 60 DAYS ALONE
EARNINGS ESTIMATES FOR 2019 S&P 500 HAVE DECLINED $9 & $4 IN THE LAST 60 DAYS ALONE A PUBLIC SOURCED ARTICLE FOR MATASII (SUBSCRIBERS-RESEARCH & PUBLIC ACCESS ) READERS REFERENCE MATA: FUNDAMENTALS EXTRACTED FROM: 11-08-18 – RealInvestmentAdvice.com – “The Tailwinds To The Bull Market Have Shifted” MATASII TAKEAWAYS: The risk to current estimates going forward remain higher rates, […]
THE NEXT BIG MARKET RISK: HERE COMES A SHARP SLOWDOWN IN STOCK BUYBACKS
THE NEXT BIG MARKET RISK: HERE COMES A SHARP SLOWDOWN IN STOCK BUYBACKS A PUBLIC SOURCED ARTICLE FOR MATASII (SUBSCRIBERS-RESEARCH & PUBLIC ACCESS ) READERS REFERENCE MATA: RISK OFF-ON 11-04-18 – “The Next Big Market Risk: Here Comes A Sharp Slowdown In Stock Buybacks” MATASII TAKEAWAYS: Companies’ appetite to repurchase their own shares appears to be slowing sharply, […]
NOMURA WARNS OF SHIFT TO “RISK-NEGATIVE MINDSET” AS MARKET PULLS FORWARD END-OF-CYCLE TIMING
NOMURA WARNS OF SHIFT TO “RISK-NEGATIVE MINDSET” AS MARKET PULLS FORWARD END-OF-CYCLE TIMING A PUBLIC SOURCED ARTICLE FOR MATASII (SUBSCRIBERS-RESEARCH & PUBLIC ACCESS ) READERS REFERENCE MATA: RISK OFF-ON 10-23-18 – “The Market Is “Pulling Forward End-Of-Cycle Timing” – Nomura Warns of Shift To “Risk-Negative Mindset”” MATASII TAKEAWAYS: The realization of the fact that global central bank balance […]