VIX CLOSES AT LOWEST POINT SINCE PRIOR TO FEBRUARY VIX EXPLOSION & MARKET IMPLOSION VIX closed at lowest since Jan 26th Chart Courtesy of ZeroHedge The Strategy of Shorting the VIX has again returned!!
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MARKET COMPLACENCY IS SURGING WHILE AGAIN POTENTIAL VOLATILITY IS NOT BEING PRICED IN
MARKET COMPLACENCY IS SURGING WHILE AGAIN POTENTIAL VOLATILITY IS NOT BEING PRICED IN — SOURCE: 06-05-18- Palisade Research.com, Adam Tumerkan – “The Smart Money’s Bailing As Market Complacency Surges” — Last week I wrote about the forgotten economist – Hyman Minsky – and his excellent work about the Financial Instability Hypothesis (FIH), which details how an economy […]
VIX BACK TO 13 & BREAKS BELOW KEY 200 DMA TECHNICAL SUPPORT
VIX BACK TO 13 & BREAKS BELOW KEY 200 DMA TECHNICAL SUPPORT — SOURCE: 05-10-18 ZeroHedge – “VIX Breaks Below Key Technical Support” — Despite the world’s elites decrying President Trump’s decision to withdraw from the Iran nuclear deal – fearful of the kind of Middle East instability already witnessed last night between Israel and […]
IN DEPTH: TRANSCRIPTION – REPRICING OF RISK BEGINS
IN DEPTH: TRANSCRIPTION – REPRICING OF RISK BEGINS COVER AGENDA SLIDE 5 We started warning of the huge problems we saw with volatility as measured by the VIX as part of our October LONGWave video entitled “Powering the ‘ETF Dynamo'”. To us, the once “cottage industry” of shorting the VIX was becoming so pronounced […]
UNDERSTANDING THE NEW $2 TRILLION ASSET CLASS CALLED “vol” (VOLATILITY)
UNDERSTANDING THE NEW $2 TRILLION ASSET CLASS CALLED “vol” (VOLATILITY) MONETARY MALPRACTICE I put this schematic together not long after the 2008 Financial Crisis as we were witnessing the emerging approach the Federal Reserve was taking to its resolution. The last update of the diagram was in 2012 (note the 2012 copyright at the bottom) […]
“SELLING VOLATILITY”- VIX SHIFTS FROM A FEAR INDEX TO A GREED INDEX
“SELLING VOLATILITY”- VIX SHIFTS FROM A FEAR INDEX TO A GREED INDEX –SOURCE: 11-29-17 Peter Tchir, Forbes.com, – “VIX – From Fear Index To Greed Index” — We have all heard the VIX or volatility index referred to as the Fear Index or Fear Gauge. Rising VIX was meant to signal fear in the markets. That is how most […]
WHAT THE CAPE/VIX RELATIONSHIP TELLS US IS LOOMING AHEAD
WHAT THE CAPE/VIX RELATIONSHIP TELLS US IS LOOMING AHEAD We were in the process of writing about the technical pattern in the VIX when we came across some research by Peter Schiff of Euro Pacific Capital illustrating the historical correlation of the CAPE/VIX Ratio to US Recessions go back to 1990. We have been warning about a […]
S&P 500 FORWARD PE v VIX RATIO
S&P 500 FORWARD PE v VIX RATIO The Financial Times in London identifies the S&P 500 Forward PE to VIX Ratio as something to pay particular attention to when considering just how expensive the US Equity Market has become. The S&P 500 Forward PE to VIX Ratio is presently at highs only seen prior to […]
MARKET GREED/FEAR INDEX: Extreme Greed (AAII, INVI, MARKETVANE, VIX)
MARKET GREED/FEAR INDEX: Extreme Greed (AAII, INVI, MARKETVANE, VIX)
VIX Expanding, Spikes Possible
The VIX has been expanding since about June 2014. Note the spikes since then and the expanding wedge pattern. Market has the potential to spike back to the blue wedge resistance at any time. Note spikes lifted to previously define market levels; where these and the wedge resistance meet offers target considerations. The W%R is […]