- The Credit Market historically leads the Stock Market. Watch the Credit Markets for an early warning.
- The Credit Market warns first via the cost of Protection (Credit Default Swaps), then the cost of Risk (High Yield Spreads) then via the cost of Yield ('Junk Bond' Yields). All three are shown below and though look "tenuous" are not yet warning.
- Central Bank Liquidity flows are presently sustaining the "Leveraged-for-Yield" Speculators. Any slowing in the rate of liquidity injections will quickly begin showing in credit areas of: 1- Cost of Protection, 2- Pricing of Risk and 3- Inflation Adjusted Yield.
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