Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS US DOLLAR STRENGTH TIME TO TALK THE US DOLLAR! The US Dollar’s rise is benefiting both from concerns that the latest wave of Covid-19 and China’s problems will dent global growth, and additionally from the perception that the Federal Reserve will need to […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MACRO US MONETARY & FISCAL POLICY A FINANCIAL SHOCKWAVE OF POLITICALLY DRIVEN POLICY BLUNDERS THERE WILL BE UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCES! We have been witnessing the wholesale and rapid withdrawal of central bank stimulus globally: Last week the ECB was the second giant to Taper bond […]
RECAP: PLANNED US TAX INCREASES Here is a recap of the planned tax increases being debated in congress and expected to be part of the Biden Regime’s $3T Tax Increases.
EXPECTED US DEBT CEILING & “CR” ROADMAP Here is our assessment of what to expect during the upcoming Congressional Debt Ceiling debate tied to the $3.5T Continuing Resolution (CR). Our conclusion is to expect Sub-Option-Plan A
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MACRO US FISCAL POLICY THE COMING DEBT CEILING DEBACLE?? The Debt Ceiling debate was deferred for two years in 2019 with a bipartisan deal that expires July 31. The debt in 2019 was $984B. The Biden Budget for 2021 is expected to be $3 […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis FEATURE ARTICLES MACRO – MONETARY & FISCAL POLICY TWO FLAWED HOPES: LIQUIDITY & STIMULUS For decades the “go to” strategy anytime financial turmoil, crisis or shocks impact the economy the solution has been two fold: i) Central Banks to immediately inject large amounts of Liquidity […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MACRO MONETARY & FISCAL POLICY TOO BIG TO BAIL? The Global Central Banks are all conducting their regularly scheduled meetings this week. There can be little doubt that inter-bank dialogue has preceded these meetings to coordinate some measure of needed but not yet undertaken, global […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MACRO MONETARY & FISCAL POLICY TOO MANY TO SAVE? The current market mentality is that the massive and unprecedented Monetary & Fiscal intervention measures are going to work. Many investors firmly believe in the proven market adage of: “Don’t Fight the Fed!”. It worked (on the surface) […]
WORLD DOLLAR LIQUIDITY IS FALLING Here is a summary of Dr Lacy Hunt’s work on the cause of the record rate of decline in World Liquidity. The Second Theorem: Monetary deceleration eventually lead to lower, not higher, interest rates as originally theorized by Milton Friedman. When the Fed makes changes to the monetary base, […]
ALARMINGLY, DEMOGRAPHICS SHOWS USA TO POTENTIALLY BE THE “LEAST UGLY” OVER NEXT 5-15 YEARS FACT: World Population Growth is declining in most developed countries: FACT: Population Growth: US and Japan: Notice the correlation between population growth declining and debt increasing. This suggests that debt has been typically used to offset the falling total population output […]
