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  • February 27, 2017

    A GLOBAL EURODOLLAR SHORTAGE

    A GLOBAL EURODOLLAR SHORTAGE
    A GLOBAL EURODOLLAR SHORTAGE The World Bank just released a telling report entitled "Trade Developments in 2016: Policy Uncertainty Weighs on World Trade". Though they deflect the problems in global trade to areas such as excessive regulatory initiatives and policy uncertainty (which is true), what is to be found buried in the appendix are the two […]
  • February 24, 2017

    CHINESE FX RESERVES NOW BELOW $3 TRILLION FOR THE FIRST TIME SINCE 2011

    CHINESE FX RESERVES NOW BELOW $3 TRILLION FOR THE FIRST TIME SINCE 2011
    CHINESE FX RESERVES NOW BELOW $3 TRILLION FOR THE FIRST TIME SINCE 2011  "The Chinese government and the PBOC are now facing a tremendous battle to stem further significant capital outflows while also trying to maintain confidence in the yuan."   Concerns are swirling over the speed at which the country is depleting its reserves […]
  • February 24, 2017

    GLOBAL DEMOGRAPHICS ARE NOW AT A CRITICAL INFLECTION POINT

    GLOBAL DEMOGRAPHICS ARE NOW AT A CRITICAL INFLECTION POINT
    GLOBAL DEMOGRAPHICS ARE NOW AT A CRITICAL INFLECTION POINT China of '85-'00 grew on population and demographic trends. China of '00-'15 grew despite decelerating population growth but on accelerating debt growth...this growth in China kept global growth alive. China of '15-'30 will not grow, will not drive the global economy and absent Chinese growth...the world economy is […]
  • February 23, 2017

    WE ARE POTENTIALLY ON THE THRESHOLD OF THE BIGGEST POLITICAL CRISIS IN WESTERN EUROPE SINCE WWII!

    WE ARE POTENTIALLY ON THE THRESHOLD OF THE BIGGEST POLITICAL CRISIS IN WESTERN EUROPE SINCE WWII!
    WE ARE POTENTIALLY ON THE THRESHOLD OF THE BIGGEST POLITICAL CRISIS IN WESTERN EUROPE SINCE WWII! The political situation in Europe and the US is changing rapidly; the daily Trump hysteria in the media blurs the underlying problems that the Western democracies are facing. The rise of: The Identitarian movement  (The Identitarian movement is a […]
  • February 21, 2017

    THE RATIO OF EQUITY TO BOND RETURNS APPROACHING A 29 YEAR HIGH

    THE RATIO OF EQUITY TO BOND RETURNS APPROACHING A 29 YEAR HIGH
    THE RATIO OF EQUITY TO BOND RETURNS APPROACHING A 29 YEAR HIGH
  • February 21, 2017

    S&P 500: 50 days without a 1% swing – 14 days without a single loss?

    S&P 500: 50 days without a 1% swing – 14 days without a single loss?
    S&P 500: 50 days without a 1% swing - 14 days without a single loss? The S&P 500 has now gone a stunning 50 days without a 1% swing... The S&P 500 Tech Sector has gone a record 14 days without a single loss...
  • February 21, 2017

    Nasdaq Now More Overbought Than At 2000 Bubble Peak

    Nasdaq Now More Overbought Than At 2000 Bubble Peak
    Nasdaq Now More Overbought Than At 2000 Bubble Peak
  • February 21, 2017

    WHAT DOES THE BIGGEST US GASOLINE GLUT IN 27 YEARS TELL US?

    WHAT DOES THE BIGGEST US GASOLINE GLUT IN 27 YEARS TELL US?
    WHAT DOES THE BIGGEST US GASOLINE GLUT IN 27 YEARS TELL US? U.S. gasoline demand plunged to just 8.2 million barrels per day in January, and sales were down 4 percent from a year earlier. It was also the lowest level in four years. The glut of gasoline has led to tankers being turned away […]
  • February 20, 2017

    THE US BUSINESS CYCLE – FURTHER INDICATIONS IT IS TURNING

    THE US BUSINESS CYCLE – FURTHER INDICATIONS IT IS TURNING
    THE US BUSINESS CYCLE - FURTHER INDICATIONS IT IS TURNING Trumponomics Will Not Stop The Natural Business Cycle - It Can Only Possibly Alter the Slope & Duration of The Recession 
  • February 19, 2017

    THESIS 2017: THERE’S NOT NEARLY ENOUGH GROWTH TO KEEP GROWING

    THESIS 2017: THERE’S NOT NEARLY ENOUGH GROWTH TO KEEP GROWING
    THESIS 2017: THERE'S NOT NEARLY ENOUGH GROWTH TO KEEP GROWING Both our Energy Systems and our Financial Systems are examples of what happens when (what we should perhaps call the rate of ‘productivity’ rather than growth)  falls below a critical mass -  it becomes impossible to maintain, even keep alive, a society as complex as […]
  • February 15, 2017

    FURTHER PROOF THE EQUITY MARKETS ARE BEING MANIPULATED

    FURTHER PROOF THE EQUITY MARKETS ARE BEING MANIPULATED
    FURTHER PROOF THE EQUITY MARKETS ARE BEING MANIPULATED PREVIOUS POSTS:  ALSO READ: WHEN DID THE FED START BUYING EQUITIES? - INDICATIONS ARE WHEN "TAPER" ENDED! EARNING DIVERGENCE At precisely the end of the QE "TAPER" program we again witness another inflection point. This time it is the divergence of the S&P 500 from earnings as […]
  • February 15, 2017

    A TIGHTER YEN – GOLD CORRELATION HAS EMERGED

    A TIGHTER YEN – GOLD CORRELATION HAS EMERGED
    A TIGHTER YEN - GOLD CORRELATION HAS EMERGED This became an increasingly tighter correlation after the ECB, BOJ & BOE Began Injecting $200B/Mo. With the "Trump Rally" it has become an "Extreme Correlation"!
  • February 11, 2017

    MORE CONFIRMATIONS THAT CENTRAL BANKERS ARE NOW OPERATING BEHIND THE SCENES

    MORE CONFIRMATIONS THAT CENTRAL BANKERS ARE NOW OPERATING BEHIND THE SCENES
    MORE CONFIRMATIONS THAT CENTRAL BANKERS ARE NOW OPERATING BEHIND THE SCENES ALSO READ: WHEN DID THE FED START BUYING EQUITIES? - INDICATIONS ARE WHEN "TAPER" ENDED! EARNING DIVERGENCE At precisely the end of the QE "TAPER" program we again witness another inflection point. This time it is the divergence of the S&P 500 from earnings as […]
  • February 11, 2017

    YET ANOTHER WALL STREET “WITCH’S BREW”

    YET ANOTHER WALL STREET “WITCH’S BREW”
    WITCH'S BREW: Sentiment UP, Complacency UP - but Uncertainty Also UP (Not DOWN?) When did the distortion start occurring in the markets when increasing UNCERTAINTY can come with an increase in COMPLACENCY and SENTIMENT? The short answer is: When Wall Street and its media maven lap dogs began controlling the public narrative.  I place our newly minted Twitter […]
  • February 10, 2017

    Investors’ Intelligence Bulls at highest in almost 3 years – Bears at their lowest in almost 2 years!!

    Investors’ Intelligence Bulls at highest in almost 3 years – Bears at their lowest in almost 2 years!!
    Investors' Intelligence Bulls at highest in almost 3 years - Bears at their lowest in almost 2 years!! These Kinds of Gaps are usually filled quickly via "Surprise Shock"! The S&P Has Now Gone 36 Days Without A 1% Intraday Move: The Longest Streak In History  

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