REPRICING OF RISK SUGGESTS AN INITIAL MARKET SUPPORT LEVEL

AN ADDENDUM TO MARCH 2020 LONGWave VIDEO
(Links below active for Subscribers Only)

A Historic Repricing of Risk is Underway. In this months LONGWave we discuss this in the form of exploding:
  • Protection Costs:   Credit Default Swaps
  • Risk Pricing:           Volatility (VIX)
  • Yield - Curve          Corporate Spreads
What this gives us is an indication of where Equity Markets should currently be prices at. Below are some Longer Term LIVE charts to track on your desktop during this period of market turmoil.
  • Support for S&P 500                                          Primary S&P Monthly Chart             Subscriber LINK
  • Long Term S&P 500 Fibonacci's                     Rising Long Term Projection            Subscriber LINK
  • Short Term Fibonacci Support Level             Tertiary S&P 500 Daily Chart            Subscriber LINK

SUMMARY

  • First Level of Initial Support: S&P 500 ~ 2450
  • Credit markets pinpoint this level with an understanding that credit markets are currently quickly deteriorating and becoming volatile as shown by the VIX and MOVE (outlined in video)
  • Long Term Support Trends create a "pincer" around the Risk Projections (Chart 2 below)
  • The market fall is presently still holding to our Long Term Fibonacci's within our Parabolic Minsky Melt-up Trend (Chart 3 below)
  • We are nearing a 61.8% Retracement Level on our Daily S&P 500 "Tertiary Level" charts at ~ 2418 (Chart 4 below)
We Showed this Graphic in our latest LONGWave Video suggesting that based on current movements in the "Repricing of Risk" the S&P 500 needs to be minimally priced at ~2450.
(NOTE: High Yield is currently dropping rapidly)
The above is supported by two Long Term Primary Support Trend Lines which are acting as "Pincers" around our Risk Pricing Projection.
 
Your LIVE LONGWave Video Chart Link:   SUBSCRIBER LINK
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We showed our Long Term Fibonacci Model in the latest LONGWave Video. Here is your updated LIVE link to track
 
Your LIVE LONGWave Video Chart Link:   SUBSCRIBER LINK
==============

 

We are approaching a 61.8% Retracement level on our Daily "Tertiary Level" chart at ~ 2418
 
Your LIVE LONGWave Video Chart Link:   SUBSCRIBER LINK

 

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