Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis US ECONOMICS FISCAL POLICY THE TRUMP / BESSENT 3-3-3 STRATEGY OBSERVATIONS: WHAT DOGE HELPS REMIND US ABOUT GOVERNMENT Though most would agree that too large a government could lead to an inefficient bureaucracy. Small is better to too small could create and even worse problems. […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis US ECONOMICS INVESTMENT CYCLE TIME TO INVEST IN THE US & EU DEFENSE SECTORS? OBSERVATIONS: THE EU HAS ENTERED A DEATH SPIRAL OF ITS POLITICAL MAKING! The economy of the European Union operates on an inverted economic model. It puts entitlement spending as its pillar, […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis US ECONOMICS INVESTMENT CYCLE TIME TO LOOK BROADER THAN US EQUITIES OBSERVATIONS: TRUMP MUST BEGIN TO RE-INDUSTRIALIZE AMERICA! I have written endlessly that one of the two central problems America faces and which must be solved is: THE US CONSUMES MORE THAN IT PRODUCES The […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis US ECONOMICS FISCAL POLICY THE US GLOBAL TRADE IMBALANCE PROBLEM OBSERVATIONS: TARIFFS v EXCHANGE RATES v FREE TRADE The market analysts and so-called economists panicking over President Donald Trump’s tariffs must be at least somewhat relieved that he’s agreed to pause the ones he wants […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis tipping points BOND MARKET PREPARATIONS FOR THE POST DEBT CEILING MARKET The current Debt Ceiling wrangling will soon be resolved with the result being (as always) a dramatic increase in the debt ceiling. The establishment of a US debt ceiling has long been meaningless other […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis tipping points BOND MARKET ECONOMIC INDICATORS STEADILY DETERIORATING This week we do a deep dive into the deluge of economic indicators to see if there is consistent message signalling the realities of an imminent US Recession. THERE WAS! The only good news we witnessed was […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MACRO – US ECONOMY ECONOMIC INDICATORS BROADENING & DESTABILIZING SHOCK WAVES We have mistakenly and naively inserted Instability into a World of Incredible Complexity. The result has been and will continue to be broadening cascading shocks! SEQUENTIAL SERIES OF BROADENING CASCADING SHOCKS: SHOCK 1: COVID-19 […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MACRO – US ECONOMY DEBT MARKET THE PIPER MUST BE PAID! Unfortunately I am old enough to remember clearly when there were no credit cards, everything was transacted in cash (or consequentially simply not transacted at all) and banks lived by Borrowing Long Term and […]
