Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis US ECONOMICS INVESTMENT CYCLE TIME TO LOOK BROADER THAN US EQUITIES OBSERVATIONS: TRUMP MUST BEGIN TO RE-INDUSTRIALIZE AMERICA! I have written endlessly that one of the two central problems America faces and which must be solved is: THE US CONSUMES MORE THAN IT PRODUCES The […]
MACRO US Economy US Policy
THE US GLOBAL TRADE IMBALANCE PROBLEM
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis US ECONOMICS FISCAL POLICY THE US GLOBAL TRADE IMBALANCE PROBLEM OBSERVATIONS: TARIFFS v EXCHANGE RATES v FREE TRADE The market analysts and so-called economists panicking over President Donald Trump’s tariffs must be at least somewhat relieved that he’s agreed to pause the ones he wants […]
THE ADVANCING REGULATORY STATE
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MACRO US ECONOMICS – PUBLIC POLICY THE ADVANCING REGULATORY STATE OBSERVATIONS: BIDEN’S POLL NUMBER ADJUSTED DOWN FOR INFLATION LIKE YOUR PAY CHECK! When President Joe Biden was told by an interviewer that food prices are up 30 percent in four years, he completely dismissed it, countering […]
FISCAL & MONETARY STOPS BEING PULLED OUT FOR THE ELECTION
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MACRO US FISCAL & MONETARY POLICY FISCAL & MONETARY STOPS BEING PULLED OUT FOR THE ELECTION OBSERVATIONS: FALSE EXPECTATIONS?? I find myself wondering if our global expectations can continue to be funded? I see massive global financing needs where credit creation must be taken to […]
UNDERSTANDING THE US CREDIT DEFAULT SWAP – US TREASURY CORRELATION
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis US MACRO MONETARY & FISCAL POLICY UNDERSTANDING THE US CREDIT DEFAULT SWAP – US TREASURY CORRELATION OBSERVATIONS: CLOSELY WATCHING THE FED’S DECISION ON QUANTITATIVE TIGHTENING (QT) The Fed pays interest on Bank Reserves and on Reverse Repurchase Agreements to prevent interest rates from plunging. That’s […]
THE FED FUNDS RATE IS EFFECTIVELY ALREADY FALLING!
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis US MACRO MONETARY & FISCAL POLICY THE FED FUNDS RATE IS EFFECTIVELY ALREADY FALLING! OBSERVATIONS: THE TARNISHED “MADE IN AMERICA” BRAND I spent a lot of years earlier in my career involved in Manufacturing and Global Supply Chains. I have written in these pages on why […]
TREASURY REFUNDING DURING AN ELECTION YEAR’S DEFERRED DEBT CEILING WINDOW
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis US MACRO MONETARY & FISCAL POLICY TREASURY REFUNDING DURING AN ELECTION YEAR’S DEFERRED DEBT CEILING WINDOW OBSERVATIONS: THE TWO AMERICAS WE LIVE IN – PART II Last week I shared with you some facts on the “Disconnected Elite” that originated from statistics produced by the polling firm Rasmussen […]
CHINA HAS LOST ITS COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MACRO CHINA CHINA HAS LOST ITS COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE OBSERVATIONS: THE TWO AMERICAS WE LIVE IN There are two Americas that few seem to fully appreciate. I am not talking about the Rich versus Poor, nor the Haves versus the Have nots, nor the Liberals versus the Conservatives, […]
STEALTH LIQUIDITY STAGE II – THE ELECTION YEAR SET UP
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MACRO US MONETARY POLICY STEALTH LIQUIDITY STAGE II – THE ELECTION YEAR SET UP OBSERVATIONS: Americans Will Soon Be Asking Whether They Are Better Off Come This Election. From his first hours in office, Biden has waged a relentless war against American energy, canceling pipelines, […]
US DEBT IS NOW A SERIOUS SYSTEMIC PROBLEM
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MACRO US MONETARY POLICY US DEBT IS NOW A SERIOUS SYSTEMIC PROBLEM OBSERVATIONS: FLEEING POORLY RUN STATES CONTINUES The latest US census was just released on US population growth which grew by 1.6 million in 2023, with the South accounting for 87% of the growth. Texas and […]