Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS CONSUMER CONFIDENCE WHAT WE LEARNED FROM EARNINGS CALLS & LAYOFF ANNOUNCEMENTS The past week was the third week of “Earnings Season” when 40% of the S&P500 reports with ~64% having reported their Q1 earnings. This is sufficent to draw some conclusions. The earnings […]
TRIGGER$ April 2023
CRACKING CONFIDENCE & CRUMBLING COLLATERAL
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS CONSUMER CONFIDENCE CRACKING CONFIDENCE & CRUMBLING COLLATERAL In our latest Macro Analytics video, Charles Hugh Smith and I review the “Waterfall” that is presently underway in the area of: The Repricing of Risk The Revaluing of Collateral, and A Forced Increase in Productivity […]
MACRO ANALYTICS – 04 13 23 – Its a Waterfall – Risk, Collateral & Productivity
VIDEO: 36 Minutes with 45 Supporting Slides KEY MESSAGES In discussions Charles High Smith and I saw three themes that were independently coming out in our writings. REPRICING OF RISK: The reality that Risk was going to have to be Repriced, REVALUING COLLATERAL: The fact that Collateral that underpins credit was both seriously overvalued and […]
IN-DEPTH: TRANSCRIPTION – LONGWave – 03-05-23 – APRIL – IN TROUBLE! : “The New Big Short”?
IN-DEPTH: TRANSCRIPTION – LONGWave – 03-05-23 – APRIL – IN TROUBLE! – “The New Big Short”? SLIDE DECK Download Slide Deck TRANSCRIPTION SLIDE 2 Thank you for joining me. I’m Gord Long. A REMINDER BEFORE WE BEGIN: DO NO NOT TRADE FROM ANY OF THESE SLIDES – they are COMMENTARY for educational and discussion purposes […]
THE FOURTH TURNING IS HAPPENING!
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis THESIS PAPERS UPDATE – 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021 THE FOURTH TURNING IS HAPPENING! In my daily exchanges with colleagues and subscribers it is quite clear there are opposing views of what is happening on the global stage. Feelings differ significantly from those held within America […]
YOU CAN ONLY MANIPULATE THE DATA SO LONG!
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MATA – TECHNCIAL ANALYSIS PATTERNS YOU CAN ONLY MANIPULATE THE DATA SO LONG! Economic reality is starting to overwhelm the data games that the government statisticians can resort to, which would buy time the Federal Reserve desperately needs to raise rates. This needs to sufficiantly […]
IN-DEPTH: TRANSCRIPTION – UnderTheLens – 03-22-23 – APRIL – Biden Bonds Broke the Banks!
IN-DEPTH: TRANSCRIPTION – UnderTheLens – 03-22-23 – APRIL – Biden Bonds Broke the Banks! SLIDE DECK Download Slide Deck TRANSCRIPTION SLIDE 2 Thank you for joining me. I’m Gord Long. A REMINDER BEFORE WE BEGIN: DO NO NOT TRADE FROM ANY OF THESE SLIDES – they are COMMENTARY for educational and discussion purposes ONLY. Always […]
TOO MANY TO FAIL!
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS US BANKING CRISIS TOO MANY TO FAIL! Over the recent holiday season I penned this year’s Thesis paper “A Great Stagflation”. I talked about the coming “Beta Drought Decade” that would usher in global stagflation and a series of unfolding events driven […]
AMERICA’S “POTTERSVILLE” NEARLY 80 YEARS LATER!
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS US BANKING CRISIS AMERICA’S “POTTERSVILLE” NEARLY 80 YEARS LATER! In 1947 the classic Christmas movie “It’s A Wonderful Life” was released. The depiction of the banking turmoils of George Bailey fighting rival small town banker “Old Man Potter” warm the hearts of all […]