Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS BOND BUBBLE LONG END OF THE TREASURY YIELD CURVE IS BREAKING HIGHER! Right on-time US Treasury Yields are spiking higher, as we have been warning of in prior newsletters. As we outlined, this Is a result of the correlation since 2008 with the […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS RISING INTEREST RATES RISING INFLATION YET RISING REAL RATES???? We clearly have mounting inflation pressures yet we are also seeing rising real rates. How exactly does that work?? To understand how this could happen is to understand what lies ahead! First, Real Rates […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS RISING INTEREST RATES KEEP YOUR EYES FIRMLY ON INFLATION PRESSURES GM joined Nissan & Ford this week in suspending production due to semiconductor shortages used in their vehicles. Global factory growth is being stymied by stalling exports and supply constraints. Meanwhile, US Services […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS RISING INTEREST RATES THE LULL BEFORE THE COMING STORM Both the US 5Y/5Y Forwards and 5Y Break-Even (see chart below) have firmed above their psychologically important 2% cut-off, as investors have started to accept a more robust shift towards fiscal stimuli […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS EU BANKING CRISIS II WILL THE EU BE THE FIRST CASUALTY OF A SPRUNG GLOBALIZATION TRAP? No major region in the world is presently being economically hit harder than the Euro Area! The EU is not only one of the hardest-hit by the COVID-19 pandemic, but also the weakest, most […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis Through extensive research, and his process of Abstraction & Synthesis, Gordon delivers frank perspectives on global macro-economics and insightful conclusions not found in mainstream commentaries. PREPARE FOR CASCADING FINANCIAL TREMORS The US Economy is driven by Consumption which is […]
MATASII’S CORONAVIRUS TURN TRACKER CURRENT AS OF THE END OF DAY 07-12-20 NOTE: We Update these Charts Offline Daily – We Will Post a full Update the moment we see any change from the charts below KEYS TO WATCH: The first daily drop in cases in the US is an alert, The Initial Cross of […]
FIRST WARNING: CREDIT PROTECTION EXPLODES UPWARD We are witnessing a global explosion in Sovereign Credit Default Swap pricing. Costs around the world are up by over 1/3, with China, Indonesia, Japan and Korea in Asia currently the hardest hit by the Coronavirus. Noticeable is also select European countries with the media focused on the cases […]
WORLD DOLLAR LIQUIDITY CRASHES AS DOES MARGINAL UTILITY OF DEBT Lacy Hunt at Hoisington Management has another sterling post in its third quarter review and outlook. Here are some snips from the latest Hoisington Management Quarterly Review by Lacy Hunt. World Dollar Liquidity The Fed’s balance sheet constriction reduced world dollar liquidity, which is defined as the […]
DRAGHI PREPARES MARKETS FOR MONETARY EASING & FURTHER EURO DEBASEMENT Draghi outlined during the ECB’s annual conference in Sintra, Portugal that: The current EU outlook “remains tilted to the downside,” More stimulus will be needed if the outlook doesn’t improve. More interest-rate cuts and more QE are part of the central bank’s arsenal. Risks […]
