Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS US BANKING CRISIS TOO MANY TO FAIL! Over the recent holiday season I penned this year’s Thesis paper “A Great Stagflation”. I talked about the coming “Beta Drought Decade” that would usher in global stagflation and a series of unfolding events driven […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS US BANKING CRISIS AMERICA’S “POTTERSVILLE” NEARLY 80 YEARS LATER! In 1947 the classic Christmas movie “It’s A Wonderful Life” was released. The depiction of the banking turmoils of George Bailey fighting rival small town banker “Old Man Potter” warm the hearts of all […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS US BANKING CRISIS BIDEN BONDS TOO HOT FOR BANK COLLATERAL! The net of the current banking crisis is that: 1 – Biden’s Spending => 2 – Inflation => 3 – Exploding Yields => 4 – The Instability of Banks’ Core Stabilizing Asset […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS US BANKING CRISIS THE ‘TELLS’ OF SVB & POWELL’S CONGRESSIONAL TESTIMONY When the US’ 16th largest bank fails with $169B in uninsured deposits not covered by FDIC on a total asset base of $200B, markets panic! The collapse of the Silicon Valley Bank […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS INFLATION PRESSURES STUBBORN INFLATION PRESSURES DELAYING FED PIVOT Weakening Inflation is not sticking to the script by coming down relatively quickly. Instead it is universally stubbornly coming in higher than expectations and actually increasing on a M-o-M basis. This isn’t just a US […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS MARKET RISK THE DE-STABILIZING FISCAL SHOCK WAVE NOW KICKING IN The spending and public policies implemented under the auspices of a Coivd-19 recovery are only now being felt. Rather than achieving their intended purpose, they are resulting in a de-stabilizing shock to the […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS RISING RATES & INFLATION STAGFLATION PUSHING WORLD INTO GLOBAL RECESSION You can have Stagflation without having a Recession if economic growth stays positive. However, it is difficult to not have a Recession if Stagflation persists and inflation is not quickly harnessed and controlled. […]
INFLATION IS NOT TRANSITORY! BOND & PRECIOUS METALS REACT AGGRESSIVELY TO CPI / PPI After Tuesday’s release of the dramatic PPI increase (8.6% Y-o-Y), then followed by Wednesday’s historical high CPI (6.2% Y-o-Y) the bond and precious metals finally reacted. The reports put to rest any doubt that high Inflation rates were not Transitory as […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS INFLATION PRESSURES FOLLOWING DETAILED ANALYSIS IS SUBSCRIBER CONTENT ONLY Subscribe to view full post content with supporting live charts SUBSCRIBE LOOK FOR INFLATION TO REMAIN ELEVATED & PERSISTENT! Markets are treating Inflation as both Cyclical and Transitory. It is not! It is Secular […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MACRO US MONETARY POLICY WE ARE BELOW THE EVENT HORIZON! NOTE: We are having technical problems with a number of missing graphics below Temporarily see LINK for supporting graphics and/or read this post in a different format (recommended). I first mentioned the concept of […]
