Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS US BANKING CRISIS TOO MANY TO FAIL! Over the recent holiday season I penned this year’s Thesis paper “A Great Stagflation”. I talked about the coming “Beta Drought Decade” that would usher in global stagflation and a series of unfolding events driven […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS US BANKING CRISIS AMERICA’S “POTTERSVILLE” NEARLY 80 YEARS LATER! In 1947 the classic Christmas movie “It’s A Wonderful Life” was released. The depiction of the banking turmoils of George Bailey fighting rival small town banker “Old Man Potter” warm the hearts of all […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS US BANKING CRISIS BIDEN BONDS TOO HOT FOR BANK COLLATERAL! The net of the current banking crisis is that: 1 – Biden’s Spending => 2 – Inflation => 3 – Exploding Yields => 4 – The Instability of Banks’ Core Stabilizing Asset […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS US BANKING CRISIS THE ‘TELLS’ OF SVB & POWELL’S CONGRESSIONAL TESTIMONY When the US’ 16th largest bank fails with $169B in uninsured deposits not covered by FDIC on a total asset base of $200B, markets panic! The collapse of the Silicon Valley Bank […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS INFLATION PRESSURES STUBBORN INFLATION PRESSURES DELAYING FED PIVOT Weakening Inflation is not sticking to the script by coming down relatively quickly. Instead it is universally stubbornly coming in higher than expectations and actually increasing on a M-o-M basis. This isn’t just a US […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis GLOBAL MACRO: CHINA CREDIT TO UNDERSTAND GAMMA GAMING, FOCUS ON ‘THETA’ It was somewhat surprising to read in the Federal Reserve’s Semi Annual Financial Stability Report that it was warning about the growth in “Meme” Trading as one of the two major factors most concerning […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS RISK REVERSAL SMART MONEY IS NOW (VERY) NERVOUS! What the smart money understands is that when the central banks start to slow or begins to drain monetary liquidity, the clock starts ticking towards a major corrective cycle. Last week the Fed made it […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS RISK REVERSAL AN APPROACHING GLOBAL RISK-OFF PIVOT The following has now occurred: Last week the ECB was the second giant to Taper bond purchases, Bank of Japan has already ended QE. Bank of Canada shed 15% of its assets. Bank of England & […]
