Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS HOUSING & EMPLOYMENT HOUSING’S “10 MONTH CANARY” RULE The US Housing sector is one of the pillars of the US Economy. When the US Housing sector experiences serious disruption it can be expected to result in earning contraction in ~10 months. Housing is […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS MARKET RISK THE DE-STABILIZING FISCAL SHOCK WAVE NOW KICKING IN The spending and public policies implemented under the auspices of a Coivd-19 recovery are only now being felt. Rather than achieving their intended purpose, they are resulting in a de-stabilizing shock to the […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS US STOCK MARKET RISK ARE WE THERE YET?? This newsletter is focused on being a follow-on to our recent August LONGWave video and last week’s newsletter. Friday’s August Options expiration was an important event with technical patterns achieving critical levels. Corporate earnings came […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS US STOCK MARKET RISK A BEAR MARKET COUNTER RALLY OR SOMETHING ELSE?? The US equity markets have reached a critical signaling juncture of whether we are in a longer term bear market or the bear market is over and we are headed higher […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS FLOWS & LIQUIDITY THE DOG’S NOSE: CREDIT LEADS AGAIN! As we laid out in this month’s UnderTheLens video, it is the “Dog’s Nose” that first senses changes. Those changes are initially detected in the Credit Markets. This is precisely what occurred early this […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS US DOLLAR US DOLLAR SCREAMING POTENTIAL GLOBAL “RECESSION”! The Dow Jones index is down 13.95% since early January. The S&P 500 is down 20.2% in the same period. The Russel 2000 is down 28.7% and the Nasdaq Composite down an even more spectacular […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS RISING RATES & INFLATION STAGFLATION PUSHING WORLD INTO GLOBAL RECESSION You can have Stagflation without having a Recession if economic growth stays positive. However, it is difficult to not have a Recession if Stagflation persists and inflation is not quickly harnessed and controlled. […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS US DOLLAR STRENGTH TIME TO TALK THE US DOLLAR! The US Dollar’s rise is benefiting both from concerns that the latest wave of Covid-19 and China’s problems will dent global growth, and additionally from the perception that the Federal Reserve will need to […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS RISK REVERSAL SMART MONEY IS NOW (VERY) NERVOUS! What the smart money understands is that when the central banks start to slow or begins to drain monetary liquidity, the clock starts ticking towards a major corrective cycle. Last week the Fed made it […]
THE LIQUIDITY KILLER: The Treasury General Account (TGA) My colleague Richard Duncan has just released his latest Macro Watch video where he gives us his perspective on what the Federal Reserve and US Treasury are signaling. I strongly recommend you subscribe the Richard’s Macro Watch service. You can do this at LINK. Enter the […]
