Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS US ECONOMICS – RECESSION WARNING SIGNALS WORSEN WHILE FEW PAY ATTENTION! OBSERVATIONS: WHY DON’T WE JUST DEFAULT ON THE US DEBT? As irresponsible as it sounds, in a number of recent conversations the question of “Why don’t we just default on the US Debt?” was […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS FUNDAMENTALS A RISING EQUITY MARKET BUT SHRINKING STOCK TRADING VOLUMES? OBSERVATIONS: THE FED NEEDS TO STOP ELECTION YEAR CHEER LEADING & COACH! The Fed is making yet another big policy mistake similar to assessing AFTER COVID-19 that “inflation was only transitory”! The mistake […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS STOCK BUYBACKS FALLING PRODUCTIVITY CAN BE SEEN IN THE LITTLE THINGS Increasingly I find myself concerned about real productivity in the US. It isn’t that US workers aren’t working harder or smarter. Actually that is part of the problem. The productive members of […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS INFLATION PRESSURES STUBBORN INFLATION PRESSURES DELAYING FED PIVOT Weakening Inflation is not sticking to the script by coming down relatively quickly. Instead it is universally stubbornly coming in higher than expectations and actually increasing on a M-o-M basis. This isn’t just a US […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS SHRINKING REVENUE GROWTH RATE THE FALLING DOMINOES AHEAD The Reverse Wealth Effect though underway will likely not fully show itself until Stage 5 of an expected toppling of cascading economic dominoes still ahead of us: STAGE 1: CHRONIC UNEMPLOYMENT On-Going Forced Cuts of Fixed & […]
