Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS RISING INFLATION A COMING GLOBAL SHIFT ACROSS INFLATION SENSITIVE ASSETS We have been arguing that though Inflation pressures are clearly with us, many of the underlying drivers are associated with bottlenecks in the ‘just-in-time’ (no inventory) global supply chains restarting from Covid-19 lock-downs. […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS RISING INFLATION WHAT INFLATION MEANS TO THE MARKETS We are presently caught in what has become a manic concern that inflation is approaching like a looming tidal wave. There is little doubt that Inflation continues to grow and broaden in scope. However, the […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS RISING INFLATION CONCURRENT INFLATION AND DEFLATION?? Markets normally price forward with an 8 month lead time on economic expectations. Today’s news often misinterprets market actions based on current news events versus explaining what the markets had anticipated 8 months earlier. However, the recent […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS RISING INTEREST RATES RISING INFLATION YET RISING REAL RATES???? We clearly have mounting inflation pressures yet we are also seeing rising real rates. How exactly does that work?? To understand how this could happen is to understand what lies ahead! First, Real Rates […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS RISING INTEREST RATES KEEP YOUR EYES FIRMLY ON INFLATION PRESSURES GM joined Nissan & Ford this week in suspending production due to semiconductor shortages used in their vehicles. Global factory growth is being stymied by stalling exports and supply constraints. Meanwhile, US Services […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS RISING INTEREST RATES THE LULL BEFORE THE COMING STORM Both the US 5Y/5Y Forwards and 5Y Break-Even (see chart below) have firmed above their psychologically important 2% cut-off, as investors have started to accept a more robust shift towards fiscal stimuli […]
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