Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MACRO GLOBAL ECONOMICS THE TRIFECTA RACE The race is underway on what will deliver the hardest blow to the coming US recession. It will either be: A liquidity shock of the increased funding of the US Treasury’s TGA, as a result of the massive increase […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MACRO – US ECONOMY ECONOMIC INDICATORS BROADENING & DESTABILIZING SHOCK WAVES We have mistakenly and naively inserted Instability into a World of Incredible Complexity. The result has been and will continue to be broadening cascading shocks! SEQUENTIAL SERIES OF BROADENING CASCADING SHOCKS: SHOCK 1: COVID-19 […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MACRO – US ECONOMY DEBT MARKET THE PIPER MUST BE PAID! Unfortunately I am old enough to remember clearly when there were no credit cards, everything was transacted in cash (or consequentially simply not transacted at all) and banks lived by Borrowing Long Term and […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MATA – TECHNCIAL ANALYSIS PATTERNS YOU CAN ONLY MANIPULATE THE DATA SO LONG! Economic reality is starting to overwhelm the data games that the government statisticians can resort to, which would buy time the Federal Reserve desperately needs to raise rates. This needs to sufficiantly […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MACRO US MONETARY POLICY FED TIGHTENING YET FINANCIAL CONDITIONS ARE LOOSENING?? One of the objectives we have in writing this weekly newsletter is to share with you our macro and market insights. We thought it important to address a confusion we are hearing on how […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MATA RISK “TOLL BOOTHS” NEAR COMPLETION Perhaps most troubling to me currently is the precipitous drop in real disposable income, which fell over $1 trillion in 2022. For context, this is the second-largest percentage drop in real disposable income ever, behind only 1932, the worst year […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MACRO GLOBAL GEO-POLITICS SHIFTING MULTI-POLAR PILLARS In this month’s UnderTheLens video (right), we outlined six major Macro Themes for 2023. One of these themes was the mounting Geo-Political pressures associated with the fallout of the shift to a multi-polar world. A development we first wrote […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MACRO US FISCAL POLICY 2023 MARKET MAYHEM 2500 years ago, Aristotle wrote that “virtue” is the balance between Courage and Prudence. That is the challenge of our questionably virtuous elected legislative politicians in addressing the 2023 Debt Ceiling fight. The Debt Ceiling has become a […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MATA PATTERNS THE ART OF TIMING MARKETS What I have come to understand over the decades that I have been following the Financial Markets is that market timing is more an art form than hard analysis. Though we do extensive market analytics at MATASII.com, the […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MACRO US MONETARY POLICY FINANCIAL REPRESSSION III: A Forced Regime Change The US debt problem is taking on a new and worrying complexion as announced layoffs begin showing in spiking unemployment numbers. The October ADP, JOLTS and Non-farm Payrolls (NFP) releases were clear warning signals. […]
