Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS US DOLLAR US DOLLAR SCREAMING POTENTIAL GLOBAL “RECESSION”! The Dow Jones index is down 13.95% since early January. The S&P 500 is down 20.2% in the same period. The Russel 2000 is down 28.7% and the Nasdaq Composite down an even more spectacular […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS RISING RATES & INFLATION STAGFLATION PUSHING WORLD INTO GLOBAL RECESSION You can have Stagflation without having a Recession if economic growth stays positive. However, it is difficult to not have a Recession if Stagflation persists and inflation is not quickly harnessed and controlled. […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS CREDIT CONTRACTION DEBT: Borrowing Is Increasingly Problematic! SIMPLY AN INADEQUATE RESPONSE! ==== THE FEDERAL RESERVE’S POOR RESPONSE TO HISTORIC US INFLATION IS NOW SERIOUSLY COMPOUNDING A NATIONAL PROBLEM! Real average hourly earnings to offset exploding inflation fell for the 12th straight month. […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS CREDIT CONTRACTION CREDIT LEADS: The Lending Spigot Is Quickly Constricting! COMPOUNDING UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCES OF RUSSIAN SANCTIONS Sustained central bank QT programs are likely (if carried out) to result in another major mortgage / housing debacle similar to 2008, European Banks (specifically large Italian and […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS US DOLLAR THE MEDIA IGNORES THE COLLAPSE OF THE PETRODOLLAR? The WSJ is reporting that “Saudi Arabia is in active talks with Beijing to price some of its oil sales to China in yuan,” a move that would cripple the petrodollar’s dominance of the global petroleum […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS GEO-POLITICAL EVENT A SANCTION SUPPLY SHOCK & MORE SERIOUS SHORTAGES The Ukrainian War is quickly turning into being as much a global financial crisis as a military conflict! It is quite clear that whatever happens in Ukraine only aggravates a serious global […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS GEO-POLITICAL EVENT UKRAINE PLACES FOCUS ON A FAILING US ENERGY POLICY I had no problems with the US committing to Policy Goals of: US power grid to run on 100% clean energy by 2035, US to be a Net-Zero Carbon contributor by 2050 . […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS CREDIT CONTRACTION SOVEREIGN CREDIT SHAKEN FURTHER BY UKRAINE CONFLICT The issues within both Sovereign and Corporate Credit have been mounting. Ukraine was just another shock to an already increasingly Fragile sector becoming more “Brittle” by the day, versus the “Resiliency” that is required […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis GLOBAL MACRO: CHINA CREDIT TO UNDERSTAND GAMMA GAMING, FOCUS ON ‘THETA’ It was somewhat surprising to read in the Federal Reserve’s Semi Annual Financial Stability Report that it was warning about the growth in “Meme” Trading as one of the two major factors most concerning […]
INFLATION IS NOT TRANSITORY! BOND & PRECIOUS METALS REACT AGGRESSIVELY TO CPI / PPI After Tuesday’s release of the dramatic PPI increase (8.6% Y-o-Y), then followed by Wednesday’s historical high CPI (6.2% Y-o-Y) the bond and precious metals finally reacted. The reports put to rest any doubt that high Inflation rates were not Transitory as […]
