Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS MARKET RISK CENTRAL BANKS A CATALYST FOR A DERIVATIVE DEBACLE We have yet to see the broad based market capitulation which normally occurs before a Bear Market ends. It is still ahead but fast approaching! In this session we will outline what we […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS MARKET RISK DID SOMETHING JUST BREAK? I have long espoused that Credit leads, Markets follow! The credit markets are becoming unglued, so the warnings are as elevated and strong as you get without something breaking! In fact, we suspect that the initial breakage […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MACRO US MONETARY POLICY AN ELLIOTT WAVE “DOUBLE COMBO – ZIGZAG” CORRECTIVE We are seeing strong evidence that we are in a classic Elliott Wave corrective pattern called a “Double Combo” or “ZigZag”. It is a fractal showing itself across multiple asset classes. It is […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS US STOCK MARKET RISK ARE WE THERE YET?? This newsletter is focused on being a follow-on to our recent August LONGWave video and last week’s newsletter. Friday’s August Options expiration was an important event with technical patterns achieving critical levels. Corporate earnings came […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS US STOCK MARKET RISK A BEAR MARKET COUNTER RALLY OR SOMETHING ELSE?? The US equity markets have reached a critical signaling juncture of whether we are in a longer term bear market or the bear market is over and we are headed higher […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS FLOWS & LIQUIDITY THE DOG’S NOSE: CREDIT LEADS AGAIN! As we laid out in this month’s UnderTheLens video, it is the “Dog’s Nose” that first senses changes. Those changes are initially detected in the Credit Markets. This is precisely what occurred early this […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS US DOLLAR US DOLLAR SCREAMING POTENTIAL GLOBAL “RECESSION”! The Dow Jones index is down 13.95% since early January. The S&P 500 is down 20.2% in the same period. The Russel 2000 is down 28.7% and the Nasdaq Composite down an even more spectacular […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS RISING RATES & INFLATION STAGFLATION PUSHING WORLD INTO GLOBAL RECESSION You can have Stagflation without having a Recession if economic growth stays positive. However, it is difficult to not have a Recession if Stagflation persists and inflation is not quickly harnessed and controlled. […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS CREDIT CONTRACTION DEBT: Borrowing Is Increasingly Problematic! SIMPLY AN INADEQUATE RESPONSE! ==== THE FEDERAL RESERVE’S POOR RESPONSE TO HISTORIC US INFLATION IS NOW SERIOUSLY COMPOUNDING A NATIONAL PROBLEM! Real average hourly earnings to offset exploding inflation fell for the 12th straight month. […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS CREDIT CONTRACTION CREDIT LEADS: The Lending Spigot Is Quickly Constricting! COMPOUNDING UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCES OF RUSSIAN SANCTIONS Sustained central bank QT programs are likely (if carried out) to result in another major mortgage / housing debacle similar to 2008, European Banks (specifically large Italian and […]
