Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MATA – TECHNCIAL ANALYSIS PATTERNS YOU CAN ONLY MANIPULATE THE DATA SO LONG! Economic reality is starting to overwhelm the data games that the government statisticians can resort to, which would buy time the Federal Reserve desperately needs to raise rates. This needs to sufficiantly […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS US BANKING CRISIS TOO MANY TO FAIL! Over the recent holiday season I penned this year’s Thesis paper “A Great Stagflation”. I talked about the coming “Beta Drought Decade” that would usher in global stagflation and a series of unfolding events driven […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS US BANKING CRISIS AMERICA’S “POTTERSVILLE” NEARLY 80 YEARS LATER! In 1947 the classic Christmas movie “It’s A Wonderful Life” was released. The depiction of the banking turmoils of George Bailey fighting rival small town banker “Old Man Potter” warm the hearts of all […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS US BANKING CRISIS BIDEN BONDS TOO HOT FOR BANK COLLATERAL! The net of the current banking crisis is that: 1 – Biden’s Spending => 2 – Inflation => 3 – Exploding Yields => 4 – The Instability of Banks’ Core Stabilizing Asset […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS US BANKING CRISIS THE ‘TELLS’ OF SVB & POWELL’S CONGRESSIONAL TESTIMONY When the US’ 16th largest bank fails with $169B in uninsured deposits not covered by FDIC on a total asset base of $200B, markets panic! The collapse of the Silicon Valley Bank […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS INFLATION PRESSURES STUBBORN INFLATION PRESSURES DELAYING FED PIVOT Weakening Inflation is not sticking to the script by coming down relatively quickly. Instead it is universally stubbornly coming in higher than expectations and actually increasing on a M-o-M basis. This isn’t just a US […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS HOUSING & EMPLOYMENT HOUSING’S “10 MONTH CANARY” RULE The US Housing sector is one of the pillars of the US Economy. When the US Housing sector experiences serious disruption it can be expected to result in earning contraction in ~10 months. Housing is […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MACRO US MONETARY POLICY FED TIGHTENING YET FINANCIAL CONDITIONS ARE LOOSENING?? One of the objectives we have in writing this weekly newsletter is to share with you our macro and market insights. We thought it important to address a confusion we are hearing on how […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MATA RISK “TOLL BOOTHS” NEAR COMPLETION Perhaps most troubling to me currently is the precipitous drop in real disposable income, which fell over $1 trillion in 2022. For context, this is the second-largest percentage drop in real disposable income ever, behind only 1932, the worst year […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MACRO GLOBAL GEO-POLITICS SHIFTING MULTI-POLAR PILLARS In this month’s UnderTheLens video (right), we outlined six major Macro Themes for 2023. One of these themes was the mounting Geo-Political pressures associated with the fallout of the shift to a multi-polar world. A development we first wrote […]
