Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis tipping points BOND MARKET PREPARATIONS FOR THE POST DEBT CEILING MARKET The current Debt Ceiling wrangling will soon be resolved with the result being (as always) a dramatic increase in the debt ceiling. The establishment of a US debt ceiling has long been meaningless other […]
GTL MATA
ECONOMIC INDICATORS STEADILY DETERIORATING
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis tipping points BOND MARKET ECONOMIC INDICATORS STEADILY DETERIORATING This week we do a deep dive into the deluge of economic indicators to see if there is consistent message signalling the realities of an imminent US Recession. THERE WAS! The only good news we witnessed was […]
BROADENING & DESTABILIZING SHOCK WAVES
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MACRO – US ECONOMY ECONOMIC INDICATORS BROADENING & DESTABILIZING SHOCK WAVES We have mistakenly and naively inserted Instability into a World of Incredible Complexity. The result has been and will continue to be broadening cascading shocks! SEQUENTIAL SERIES OF BROADENING CASCADING SHOCKS: SHOCK 1: COVID-19 […]
THE PIPER MUST BE PAID!
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MACRO – US ECONOMY DEBT MARKET THE PIPER MUST BE PAID! Unfortunately I am old enough to remember clearly when there were no credit cards, everything was transacted in cash (or consequentially simply not transacted at all) and banks lived by Borrowing Long Term and […]
WHAT WE LEARNED FROM EARNINGS CALLS & LAYOFF ANNOUNCEMENTS
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS CONSUMER CONFIDENCE WHAT WE LEARNED FROM EARNINGS CALLS & LAYOFF ANNOUNCEMENTS The past week was the third week of “Earnings Season” when 40% of the S&P500 reports with ~64% having reported their Q1 earnings. This is sufficent to draw some conclusions. The earnings […]
CRACKING CONFIDENCE & CRUMBLING COLLATERAL
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS CONSUMER CONFIDENCE CRACKING CONFIDENCE & CRUMBLING COLLATERAL In our latest Macro Analytics video, Charles Hugh Smith and I review the “Waterfall” that is presently underway in the area of: The Repricing of Risk The Revaluing of Collateral, and A Forced Increase in Productivity […]
THE FOURTH TURNING IS HAPPENING!
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis THESIS PAPERS UPDATE – 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021 THE FOURTH TURNING IS HAPPENING! In my daily exchanges with colleagues and subscribers it is quite clear there are opposing views of what is happening on the global stage. Feelings differ significantly from those held within America […]
YOU CAN ONLY MANIPULATE THE DATA SO LONG!
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MATA – TECHNCIAL ANALYSIS PATTERNS YOU CAN ONLY MANIPULATE THE DATA SO LONG! Economic reality is starting to overwhelm the data games that the government statisticians can resort to, which would buy time the Federal Reserve desperately needs to raise rates. This needs to sufficiantly […]
TOO MANY TO FAIL!
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS US BANKING CRISIS TOO MANY TO FAIL! Over the recent holiday season I penned this year’s Thesis paper “A Great Stagflation”. I talked about the coming “Beta Drought Decade” that would usher in global stagflation and a series of unfolding events driven […]
AMERICA’S “POTTERSVILLE” NEARLY 80 YEARS LATER!
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS US BANKING CRISIS AMERICA’S “POTTERSVILLE” NEARLY 80 YEARS LATER! In 1947 the classic Christmas movie “It’s A Wonderful Life” was released. The depiction of the banking turmoils of George Bailey fighting rival small town banker “Old Man Potter” warm the hearts of all […]