Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS BOND BUBBLE BOND MARKET NEEDS TO CONSOLIDATE BOND MARKET NEEDS TO CONSOLIDATE The historic lift in bond yields has rapidly changed the investment landscape. Bond holders have experienced ~3.7% losses so far in 2021. It has been one of the worst year-beginning starts […]
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A SIX MONTH RATE SCARE BEFORE THE DEFLATIONARY TSUNAMI
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis STRATEGIC INVESTMENT INITIATIVES BONDS & CREDIT IS THIS A RATE SCARE RATHER THAN A ‘TRANSITORY’ INFLATION SCARE? What exactly are we afraid of? It was always a safe bet that there would be an inflation scare at some point early this year. Just the base […]
YCC IS NOW A FORGONE EVENTUALITY!
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis STRATEGIC INVESTMENT INITIATIVES BONDS & CREDIT YCC IS NOW A FORGONE EVENTUALITY! You can only play so many games before you are often trapped in a situation of your own creation. This is the situation the Fed finds itself in. Nothing makes this clearer than […]
PREDICTING GOLD PRICING
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis STRATEGIC INVESTMENT INITIATIVES HARD ASSETS – GOLD PREDICTING GOLD PRICING (IN US DOLLARS). In our previous newsletter we outlined the tenets of the correlation that has been in place since the 2008 Financial Crisis regarding the pricing of Gold. The chart directly below shows you […]
WHY GOLD IS FALLING
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis STRATEGIC INVESTMENT INITIATIVES HARD ASSETS – GOLD WHY IS GOLD FALLING? Gold has been falling because: The 10Y UST Real Yield is Rising, The Chinese 12 month forward Credit Impulse is rising. Inflation Break-evens are driving up the Nominal Value of the 10Y UST Yield, […]
LONG END OF THE TREASURY YIELD CURVE IS BREAKING HIGHER!
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS BOND BUBBLE LONG END OF THE TREASURY YIELD CURVE IS BREAKING HIGHER! Right on-time US Treasury Yields are spiking higher, as we have been warning of in prior newsletters. As we outlined, this Is a result of the correlation since 2008 with the […]
RISING INFLATION YET RISING REAL RATES????
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS RISING INTEREST RATES RISING INFLATION YET RISING REAL RATES???? We clearly have mounting inflation pressures yet we are also seeing rising real rates. How exactly does that work?? To understand how this could happen is to understand what lies ahead! First, Real Rates […]
BIS WARNS AGAIN ABOUT LIQUIDITY v SOLVENCY!
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS BANKRUPTCIES / FLOWS & LIQUIDITY BIS WARNS: LIQUIDITY v SOLVENCY! The Bank of International Settlement is once again warning that the period of :Liquidity” is ending, and the next phase of the crisis about “Solvency” concerns, is now beginning. This is something we have been […]
DON’T FORGET THE RULE OF 20!
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis STRATEGIC INVESTMENT INSIGHTS HARD ASSETS – PRECIOUS METALS DON’T FORGET THE RULE OF 20! THE “RULE OF 20” In the 1970’s the “Rule of 20” was a well practiced tenet of investing. This was during a period when inflation and stagflation were […]
WHAT COMES AFTER A VACCINE AND COVID-19?
what Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis SII PRECIOUS METALS WHAT COMES AFTER A VACCINE AND COVID-19? Though Covid-19 may finally be in the rear-view mirror sometime in 2021, the devastation, lessons and emotional scares will be lasting. New attitudes will be deeply rooted, similar to those left to the generation who […]