Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS HOUSING & EMPLOYMENT HOUSING’S “10 MONTH CANARY” RULE The US Housing sector is one of the pillars of the US Economy. When the US Housing sector experiences serious disruption it can be expected to result in earning contraction in ~10 months. Housing is […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS MARKET RISK THE DE-STABILIZING FISCAL SHOCK WAVE NOW KICKING IN The spending and public policies implemented under the auspices of a Coivd-19 recovery are only now being felt. Rather than achieving their intended purpose, they are resulting in a de-stabilizing shock to the […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS SLOWING US CONSUMER A CRACKING CONSUMER IN A 70% CONSUMPTION ECONOMY Recent releases of Quarterly Financial Stability Reports by the US Federal Reserve and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) are both preoccupied with the current fragility of the financial system. They warn that […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS CORPORATE BANKRUPTCIES US DEBT IS BOTH UNPRODUCTIVE AND INEXTINGUISHABLE! The popular current media narrative advocates that the Fed will drive the US into a recession as a result of its current policy of raising interest rates in its fight to control inflation. This […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS MARKET RISK CENTRAL BANKS A CATALYST FOR A DERIVATIVE DEBACLE We have yet to see the broad based market capitulation which normally occurs before a Bear Market ends. It is still ahead but fast approaching! In this session we will outline what we […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS MARKET RISK DID SOMETHING JUST BREAK? I have long espoused that Credit leads, Markets follow! The credit markets are becoming unglued, so the warnings are as elevated and strong as you get without something breaking! In fact, we suspect that the initial breakage […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MACRO US MONETARY POLICY AN ELLIOTT WAVE “DOUBLE COMBO – ZIGZAG” CORRECTIVE We are seeing strong evidence that we are in a classic Elliott Wave corrective pattern called a “Double Combo” or “ZigZag”. It is a fractal showing itself across multiple asset classes. It is […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS US STOCK MARKET RISK ARE WE THERE YET?? This newsletter is focused on being a follow-on to our recent August LONGWave video and last week’s newsletter. Friday’s August Options expiration was an important event with technical patterns achieving critical levels. Corporate earnings came […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS US STOCK MARKET RISK A BEAR MARKET COUNTER RALLY OR SOMETHING ELSE?? The US equity markets have reached a critical signaling juncture of whether we are in a longer term bear market or the bear market is over and we are headed higher […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS FLOWS & LIQUIDITY THE DOG’S NOSE: CREDIT LEADS AGAIN! As we laid out in this month’s UnderTheLens video, it is the “Dog’s Nose” that first senses changes. Those changes are initially detected in the Credit Markets. This is precisely what occurred early this […]
