RENEWED CURRENCY DEBASEMENT IS THE MAGIC ELIXIR FOR GOLD

ECB's Mario Draghi may have just unintentionally re-ignited a smoldering currency war.

On Tuesday 06-18-19 Draghi outlined during the ECB's annual conference in Sintra, Portugal that the ECB is highly likely to soon begin the ECB's form of easing which amounts to many as formalized stealth currency debasement.

President Donald Trump was immediate in his reaction & conclusion when  he immediately took to tweeting:

As Sven Henrich surmised  "welcome to the monetary wars, the ultimate race to the bottom".

When President Trump becomes focused on something he is like a "locked in" guided missile. Indications are he smells "currency wars" & "competitive currency devaluations" which has the serious potential of destabilizing his re-election platform, built on a stronger US economy than other developed nations. Though bad for Trump and his trade war strategy (like China currently devaluing the Yuan) competitive currency debasement can only be good for gold!

STRONG GOLD TECHNICALS WAITING ON CATALYST

It has been a long time since Gold technicals have looked stronger:

  • A Bullish "Ascending Triangle",
  • A Completed "Cup & Handle",
  • An "Inverse Head & Shoulders"

 

Technicals can be wrong so don't go betting the farm like famed investor Paul Tudor Jones, but it is definitely time to start watching Gold again. The hibernation may be over.

The technicals suggest that $1650/Oz is a strong likelihood.

As Tom Luongo writes:

This isn’t a recession that has the markets spooked. It’s something far larger. Draghi’s admitted defeat, joining Kuroda at the Bank of Japan. All that’s left is Powell. If he surprises with a rate cut expect gold to explode and the dollar to briefly sell off before turning higher as the smart money understands what it really means.