Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS US BANKING CRISIS THE ‘TELLS’ OF SVB & POWELL’S CONGRESSIONAL TESTIMONY When the US’ 16th largest bank fails with $169B in uninsured deposits not covered by FDIC on a total asset base of $200B, markets panic! The collapse of the Silicon Valley Bank […]
TP Rising Inflation Pressures & Interest Pressures
STUBBORN INFLATION PRESSURES DELAYING FED PIVOT
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS INFLATION PRESSURES STUBBORN INFLATION PRESSURES DELAYING FED PIVOT Weakening Inflation is not sticking to the script by coming down relatively quickly. Instead it is universally stubbornly coming in higher than expectations and actually increasing on a M-o-M basis. This isn’t just a US […]
THE DE-STABILIZING FISCAL SHOCK WAVE NOW KICKING IN
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS MARKET RISK THE DE-STABILIZING FISCAL SHOCK WAVE NOW KICKING IN The spending and public policies implemented under the auspices of a Coivd-19 recovery are only now being felt. Rather than achieving their intended purpose, they are resulting in a de-stabilizing shock to the […]
STAGFLATION PUSHING WORLD INTO GLOBAL RECESSION
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS RISING RATES & INFLATION STAGFLATION PUSHING WORLD INTO GLOBAL RECESSION You can have Stagflation without having a Recession if economic growth stays positive. However, it is difficult to not have a Recession if Stagflation persists and inflation is not quickly harnessed and controlled. […]
INFLATION IS NOT TRANSITORY! BOND & PRECIOUS METALS REACT AGGRESSIVELY TO CPI / PPI
INFLATION IS NOT TRANSITORY! BOND & PRECIOUS METALS REACT AGGRESSIVELY TO CPI / PPI After Tuesday’s release of the dramatic PPI increase (8.6% Y-o-Y), then followed by Wednesday’s historical high CPI (6.2% Y-o-Y) the bond and precious metals finally reacted. The reports put to rest any doubt that high Inflation rates were not Transitory as […]
THE TICKING TIME BOMB: “OER”
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS INFLATION PRESSURES FOLLOWING DETAILED ANALYSIS IS SUBSCRIBER CONTENT ONLY Subscribe to view full post content with supporting live charts SUBSCRIBE LOOK FOR INFLATION TO REMAIN ELEVATED & PERSISTENT! Markets are treating Inflation as both Cyclical and Transitory. It is not! It is Secular […]
WE ARE BELOW THE EVENT HORIZON!
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MACRO US MONETARY POLICY WE ARE BELOW THE EVENT HORIZON! NOTE: We are having technical problems with a number of missing graphics below Temporarily see LINK for supporting graphics and/or read this post in a different format (recommended). I first mentioned the concept of […]
A HIDDEN INFLATION FLAW NOW EXPOSED
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS RISING INFLATION PRESSURES A HIDDEN INFLATION FLAW NOW EXPOSED Since the post inflation era of the 1970s the US government’s CPI metric has been designed primarily to hide inflation, not report it! A critical flaw within the statistical gimmicks implemented over the years […]
WHO IS ACTUALLY BUYING THE MASSIVELY SURGING US DEBT?
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS RISING INFLATION PRESSURES WHO IS ACTUALLY BUYING THE MASSIVELY SURGING US DEBT? Since March 2020 the US National Debt has exploded higher by historically unprecedented amounts. In only 15 months it has surged by $4.7 trillion to $28.14 trillion. This takes it to […]
THERE IS NEVER JUST ONE COCKROACH!
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS RISING INFLATION PRESSURES THERE IS NEVER JUST ONE COCKROACH! Having been an active investor during the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble implosion and the 2008 Financial Crisis, one of the many lessons I learned from these events was how they suddenly brought to light a […]