Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS INFLATION-DEFLATION A DIS-INFLATION / DEFLATIONARY WAVE LOOMING Deflation historically comes from rising job losses and elevated levels of national unemployment. Consumer stops spending, which in turn forces prices to be taken down by producers to sustain cashflow and financial survival at […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MACRO GLOBAL ECONOMICS THE TRIFECTA RACE The race is underway on what will deliver the hardest blow to the coming US recession. It will either be: A liquidity shock of the increased funding of the US Treasury’s TGA, as a result of the massive increase […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis tipping points BOND MARKET PREPARATIONS FOR THE POST DEBT CEILING MARKET The current Debt Ceiling wrangling will soon be resolved with the result being (as always) a dramatic increase in the debt ceiling. The establishment of a US debt ceiling has long been meaningless other […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis tipping points BOND MARKET ECONOMIC INDICATORS STEADILY DETERIORATING This week we do a deep dive into the deluge of economic indicators to see if there is consistent message signalling the realities of an imminent US Recession. THERE WAS! The only good news we witnessed was […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MACRO – US ECONOMY ECONOMIC INDICATORS BROADENING & DESTABILIZING SHOCK WAVES We have mistakenly and naively inserted Instability into a World of Incredible Complexity. The result has been and will continue to be broadening cascading shocks! SEQUENTIAL SERIES OF BROADENING CASCADING SHOCKS: SHOCK 1: COVID-19 […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MACRO – US ECONOMY DEBT MARKET THE PIPER MUST BE PAID! Unfortunately I am old enough to remember clearly when there were no credit cards, everything was transacted in cash (or consequentially simply not transacted at all) and banks lived by Borrowing Long Term and […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MACRO US MONETARY POLICY FED TIGHTENING YET FINANCIAL CONDITIONS ARE LOOSENING?? One of the objectives we have in writing this weekly newsletter is to share with you our macro and market insights. We thought it important to address a confusion we are hearing on how […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MACRO GLOBAL GEO-POLITICS SHIFTING MULTI-POLAR PILLARS In this month’s UnderTheLens video (right), we outlined six major Macro Themes for 2023. One of these themes was the mounting Geo-Political pressures associated with the fallout of the shift to a multi-polar world. A development we first wrote […]
WEALTHION: A MACRO SITUATIONAL ANALYSIS OF THE MARKETS INTERVIEW: 1 Hour, 3 Minutes Debt Crisis To Trigger Hard Landing & Painful Recession? The US has a debt problem. It has grown its debt far faster than the national income for decades. Over time, this has ballooned the annual fees in interest that the US must […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MACRO US FISCAL POLICY 2023 MARKET MAYHEM 2500 years ago, Aristotle wrote that “virtue” is the balance between Courage and Prudence. That is the challenge of our questionably virtuous elected legislative politicians in addressing the 2023 Debt Ceiling fight. The Debt Ceiling has become a […]
