Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS INCREASING RISK THE GLOBAL BENCHMARK US 10Y TREASURY IS NO LONGER “RISK FREE”! OBSERVATIONS: The Importance and Problem With A Social Safety Net Having just returned from Europe and prior to that having researched an UnderTheLens Video on China’s problems, something struck me […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS CREDIT CONTRACTION IS THE US BEGINNING TO SPIN OUT OF FINANCIAL CONTROL? OBSERVATIONS: I thought I would share another set of observations I had during my recent trip to Europe. It is about housing and supporting contract services. Having replaced my home roof […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MACRO ECONOMIC GERMANY WILL GERMANY TAKE THE EU ECONOMY DOWN WITH IT? OBSERVATIONS: I Smelled Major German Problems In The Air. I have just spent two weeks in Europe and I came away with worrying concerns about the EU, and Germany in particular. The smell of […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis MACRO ECONOMIC JAPAN TIME TO PAY ATTENTION TO THE JAPANESE CARRY TRADE! OBSERVATIONS: WHO IS BIDENOMICS HELPING MOST? We are going to focus on the Japanese Carry Trade in this newsletter, but first we need to make a few points on the Bidenomics debt buildup which […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS GUTTED WORKING MIDDLE CLASS GOVERNMENT AS A USEFUL PARASITE or A KILLER VAMPIRE? A vampire parasitically drains his victim to sustain itself. Similarly the American people are being robbed of their savings and their incomes so that a bloated bureaucracy can continue expanding. […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS STOCK BUYBACKS FALLING PRODUCTIVITY CAN BE SEEN IN THE LITTLE THINGS Increasingly I find myself concerned about real productivity in the US. It isn’t that US workers aren’t working harder or smarter. Actually that is part of the problem. The productive members of […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis GLOBAL MACRO MONETARY POLICY POLITICAL WILL IS LACKING, WHILE RHETORIC IS OVERLY ABUNDANT! The reason inflation remains elevated today, despite coming off 40-year highs, is that government spending also remains elevated. Annualized data since June 2022 show that inflation has not been trending towards the […]
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis GLOBAL MACRO MONETARY POLICY A QUICKLY STALLING GLOBAL ENGINE The global economy’s engine of growth has been dominated by China since the 2008 Financial Crisis. As we have documented many times since the GFC it has been Chinese credit growth and specifically the Chinese Credit […]
The content has been lost from the site. To read this post please see the full newsletter: THE US CREDIT RATING IS IN ACTUALITY NOW ‘HY’ OR ‘JUNK’! If the above direct link fails, try this: https://myemail.constantcontact.com/The-US-Credit-Rating-Is-In-Actuality-Now–HY–or–JUNK–.html?soid=1110877245158&aid=T0WJfMtuVs8
Gordon T Long Global Macro Research | Macro-Technical Analysis TIPPING POINTS ENERGY INFLATION FITCH’S DOWNGRADE A VOTE OF NON-CONFIDENCE IN BIDENOMICS! In downgrading the US Credit Rating to AA+ this week, Fitch cited: “there has been a steady deterioration in standards of governance over the last 20 years, including on fiscal and debt matters, notwithstanding […]
